What Is Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alto Ingredients, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $4.36. Trading at $5.87, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -25.7%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +135.4% (fair value: $13.82), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -93.9% ($0.36). The spread between these extremes — +229.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ALTO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ALTO. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ALTO's intrinsic value at $0.36, implying -93.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ALTO Rank in Specialty Chemicals?
Among 4 Specialty Chemicals stocks, ALTO ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.
The Specialty Chemicals sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For Alto Ingredients, Inc., metrics like aftermarket revenue mix provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is ALTO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ALTO a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Alto Ingredients, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alto Ingredients, Inc. scores 6.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +229.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ALTO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ALTO's 13 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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