Albemarle Corporation (ALB) Fair Value 2026

ALB · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Albemarle Corporation (ALB) trades at $125.74, approximately 320% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $29.94. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ALB
Price
$125.74
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($125.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$29.94 -76.2%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$79.37 -36.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$51.14 -59.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$65.02 -48.3%

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What Is Albemarle Corporation (ALB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Albemarle Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $62.92, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $125.74. With 13 out of 13 models flagging downside (-50.0% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $115.77 (-7.9%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $14.85 (-88.2%). This +80.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Albemarle Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ALB?

13 of 13 models are currently active for ALB. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates ALB's intrinsic value at $29.94, implying -76.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ALB Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 4 Specialty Chemicals stocks, ALB ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Specialty Chemicals space, Albemarle Corporation competes in an environment where order backlog depth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ALB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ALB a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Albemarle Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Albemarle Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +80.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ALB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ALB's 13 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Albemarle Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: APD · ALTO · AMTX

Frequently Asked Questions About Albemarle Corporation

What is Albemarle Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Albemarle Corporation (ALB) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $29.94. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ALB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $125.74, 0 of 13 active models suggest ALB may be undervalued, while 13 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Albemarle Corporation's business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for ALB?

Albemarle Corporation's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ALB?

CirclFi analyzes ALB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ALB a value trap in 2026?

Albemarle Corporation's Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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