Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC) Fair Value 2026

ODC · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC) trades at $91.52, versus a $43.03 median fair value across its 11 active models — 53.0% below the current price. QOC: 9.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $34.35.

Key Facts

Ticker
ODC
Price
$91.52
Quality Score
9.2/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.2/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $43.03, 53.0% below the current price of $91.52. Estimates range from $11.15 to $100.04. ODC scores 9.2/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ODC’s -53.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Chemicals sector median is -35.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Oil-Dri Corporation of America Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ODC?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($91.52)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $34.35 -62.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.21 -73.5%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $43.03 -53.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $85.34 -6.8%
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What Is ODC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $11.15 to $100.04

CirclFi's 11 active models place Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC) between $11.15 and $100.04 per share, a spread of 207% of the median. The median of that range — $43.03 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ODC, against a current price of $91.52.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$11.15median $43.03$100.04
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$11.15
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$100.04
Model agreement1 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ODC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ODC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Oil-Dri Corporation of America's intrinsic value is estimated at $43.03. Trading at its current price of $91.52, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -53.0%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +9.3% (fair value: $100.04), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -87.8% ($11.15). The spread between these extremes — +97.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ODC?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ODC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ODC is $43.03 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $34.35 on its own, implying -62.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ODC Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 69 Specialty Chemicals stocks, ODC ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.2 places ODC in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →

Oil-Dri Corporation of America's positioning within the Specialty Chemicals segment means that organic revenue growth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ODC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ODC a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Oil-Dri Corporation of America. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Oil-Dri Corporation of America scores 9.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +97.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ODC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ODC's 11 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Oil-Dri Corporation of America Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

BONBon Natural Life LimitedQOC 1.9RPMRPM International Inc.QOC 9.0CNEYCN Energy Group. Inc.QOC 1.9WDFCWD-40 CompanyQOC 9.0AMFNAmerican Fusion Inc.QOC 2.2LINLinde plcQOC 8.9AVNTAvient CorporationQOC 8.1MATVMativ Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9RLEARubber Leaf Inc.QOC 5.8

Read investment analysis: BON · RPM · CNEY · WDFC · AMFN · LIN · AVNT · MATV · RLEA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ODC?

7 companies across all industries closest to ODC’s Quality of Company score of 9.2/10.

RLRalph Lauren CorporationQOC 9.3TRAKReposiTrak, Inc.QOC 9.2STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.QOC 9.3PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.QOC 9.2LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.3CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RL · TRAK · STBA · PLTR · LECO · CMG · NVDA

Where Does ODC Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Chemicals Rankings?

ODC is ranked against every other Specialty Chemicals stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Chemicals stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Oil-Dri Corporation of America’s Valuation?

What is Oil-Dri Corporation of America's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC)'s intrinsic value at $43.03 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $11.15 to $100.04. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $34.35 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ODC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $91.52, 1 of 11 active models suggest ODC may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $43.03, 53.0% below the current price of $91.52 — a consensus view that ODC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Oil-Dri Corporation of America's business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.2 mean for ODC?

Oil-Dri Corporation of America's QOC of 9.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ODC?

CirclFi analyzes ODC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ODC?

Of the 11 models currently active on ODC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $100.04 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $11.15. CirclFi's published fair value for ODC is the median of that range, $43.03, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 207% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ODC a value trap in 2026?

Oil-Dri Corporation of America's Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC) has a median fair value of $43.03 — 53.0% below the current price of $91.52 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ODC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ODC valuation
  • Financial statements: Oil-Dri Corporation of America 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000074046) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ODC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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