Ascent Industries Co. (ACNT) Fair Value 2026

ACNT · Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Ascent Industries Co. (ACNT) trades at $15.01, approximately 41% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $25.50. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ACNT
Price
$15.01
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +69.9% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $25.50 +69.9%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $9.94 -33.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $13.11 -12.6%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $5.21 -65.3%

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What Is Ascent Industries Co. (ACNT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ascent Industries Co.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $12.85. Trading at $15.01, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -14.4%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $30.91 (+105.9%), while First Chicago — the most conservative — estimates $5.21 (-65.3%). This +171.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Ascent Industries Co.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ACNT?

13 of 13 models are currently active for ACNT. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ACNT's intrinsic value at $25.50, implying +69.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ACNT Rank in Chemicals?

Among 1 Chemicals stocks, ACNT ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Ascent Industries Co.'s positioning within the Chemicals segment means that book-to-bill ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ACNT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACNT a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Ascent Industries Co.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Ascent Industries Co. earns a quality score of 7.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +171.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ACNT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ACNT's 13 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ascent Industries Co. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Frequently Asked Questions About Ascent Industries Co.

What is Ascent Industries Co.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Ascent Industries Co. (ACNT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $25.50. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ACNT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.01, 3 of 13 active models suggest ACNT may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ascent Industries Co.'s business model in Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for ACNT?

Ascent Industries Co.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ACNT?

CirclFi analyzes ACNT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ACNT a value trap in 2026?

Ascent Industries Co.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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