H. B. Fuller Company (FUL) Fair Value 2026

FUL · Adhesives & Sealants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, H. B. Fuller Company (FUL) trades at $56.07, approximately 151% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $22.37. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FUL
Price
$56.07
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($56.07)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $22.37 -60.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $8.76 -84.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $32.71 -41.7%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $31.23 -44.3%

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What Is H. B. Fuller Company (FUL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, H. B. Fuller Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $36.51, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $56.07. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-34.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $70.65 (+26.0%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $8.76 (-84.4%). This +110.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about H. B. Fuller Company's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FUL?

12 of 13 models are currently active for FUL. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FUL's intrinsic value at $22.37, implying -60.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FUL Rank in Adhesives & Sealants?

Among 2 Adhesives & Sealants stocks, FUL ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

H. B. Fuller Company operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FUL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FUL a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for H. B. Fuller Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, H. B. Fuller Company is rated at 7.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +110.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FUL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FUL's 12 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy H. B. Fuller Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Adhesives & Sealants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

1 related Adhesives & Sealants stocks with 13-model coverage

CSWCSW Industrials, Inc.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: CSW

Frequently Asked Questions About H. B. Fuller Company

What is H. B. Fuller Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, H. B. Fuller Company (FUL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $22.37. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FUL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $56.07, 3 of 12 active models suggest FUL may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits H. B. Fuller Company's business model in Adhesives & Sealants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for FUL?

H. B. Fuller Company's QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FUL?

CirclFi analyzes FUL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FUL a value trap in 2026?

H. B. Fuller Company's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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