Camden National Corporation (CAC) Fair Value 2026

CAC · National Commercial Banks ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Camden National Corporation (CAC) trades at $53.84, approximately 0% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $53.75. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CAC
Price
$53.84
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($53.84)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$53.75 -0.2%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$29.65 -44.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$44.24 -17.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$40.14 -25.4%

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What Is Camden National Corporation (CAC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Camden National Corporation at its current price of $53.84. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $52.49 (-2.5% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +218.9% (fair value: $171.71), while EROIC is the most conservative at -74.5% ($13.71). The spread between these extremes — +293.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CAC?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CAC. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CAC's intrinsic value at $53.75, implying -0.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CAC Rank in National Commercial Banks?

Among 92 National Commercial Banks stocks, CAC ranks #61 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued National Commercial Banks Stocks →

As a financial institution, Camden National Corporation operates in a sector where loan loss provisions is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CAC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CAC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CAC a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Camden National Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Camden National Corporation is rated at 7.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +293.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CAC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CAC's 12 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Camden National Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar National Commercial Banks Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related National Commercial Banks stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Camden National Corporation

What is Camden National Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Camden National Corporation (CAC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $53.75. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CAC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $53.84, 3 of 12 active models suggest CAC may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Camden National Corporation's business model in National Commercial Banks.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for CAC?

Camden National Corporation's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CAC?

CirclFi analyzes CAC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CAC a value trap in 2026?

Camden National Corporation's Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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