Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) Fair Value 2026

HDSN · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (37/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) trades at $5.48, versus a $6.65 median fair value across its 12 active models — 21.3% above the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 37/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $5.42.

Key Facts

Ticker
HDSN
Price
$5.48
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
37/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +80.5% upside with 72% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $6.65, 21.3% above the current price of $5.48. Estimates range from $2.87 to $10.90. HDSN scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 37/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. HDSN’s +21.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Specialty Chemicals sector median is -35.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hudson Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HDSN?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.48)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $5.42 -1.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.89 +80.5%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $6.91 +26.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $8.59 +56.7%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 8 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 12 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is HDSN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $2.87 to $10.90

CirclFi's 12 active models place Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) between $2.87 and $10.90 per share, a spread of 121% of the median. The median of that range — $6.65 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HDSN, against a current price of $5.48.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$2.87median $6.65$10.90
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.87
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$10.90
Model agreement7 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HDSN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HDSN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $6.65. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $5.48 (implied upside of +21.3%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 12 bullish models. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +98.9% (fair value: $10.90), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -47.6% ($2.87). The spread between these extremes — +146.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About HDSN?

12 of 13 models are currently active for HDSN. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HDSN is $6.65 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $5.42 on its own, implying -1.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HDSN Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 69 Specialty Chemicals stocks, HDSN ranks #23 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →

As a manufacturing company, Hudson Technologies, Inc. operates in a sector where margin expansion trajectory is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating HDSN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is HDSN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HDSN a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Hudson Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +146.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HDSN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HDSN's 12 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hudson Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

SSLSasol LimitedQOC 7.7SCLStepan CompanyQOC 7.4EMNEastman Chemical CompanyQOC 7.8FULH.B. Fuller CompanyQOC 7.4CMTCore Molding Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.0KOPKoppers Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4SNESSenesTech, Inc.QOC 6.5CLMTCalumet, Inc.QOC 4.9BCPCBalchem CorporationQOC 8.9ODCOil-Dri Corporation of AmericaQOC 9.2RPMRPM International Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: SSL · SCL · EMN · FUL · CMT · KOP · SNES · CLMT · BCPC · ODC · RPM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HDSN?

7 companies across all industries closest to HDSN’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

VSTVistra Corp.QOC 7.6SITCSITE Centers Corp.QOC 7.6IDAIDACORP, Inc.QOC 7.6GLPGlobal Partners LPQOC 7.6HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.QOC 7.6VTOLBristow Group Inc.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VST · SITC · IDA · GLP · HLMN · VTOL · NVDA

Where Does HDSN Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Chemicals Rankings?

HDSN is ranked against every other Specialty Chemicals stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Chemicals stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hudson Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN)'s intrinsic value at $6.65 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.87 to $10.90. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $5.42 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HDSN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.48, 7 of 12 active models suggest HDSN may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $6.65, 21.3% above the current price of $5.48 — a consensus view that HDSN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for HDSN?

Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HDSN?

CirclFi analyzes HDSN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HDSN?

Of the 12 models currently active on HDSN, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $10.90 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.87. CirclFi's published fair value for HDSN is the median of that range, $6.65, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 121% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HDSN a value trap in 2026?

Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 37/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) has a median fair value of $6.65 — 21.3% above the current price of $5.48 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HDSN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HDSN valuation
  • Financial statements: Hudson Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000925528) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HDSN as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 12 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on HDSN.

Unlock All 12 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

8 models hidden for HDSN Unlock All 12 — $39/mo