Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) Fair Value 2026

HDSN · Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) trades at $6.20, approximately 59% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $15.30. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HDSN
Price
$6.20
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +146.8% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $15.30 +146.8%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $11.69 +88.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $9.58 +54.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $12.10 +95.2%

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What Is Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $9.79. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $6.20 (implied upside of +57.9%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 8 of 13 bullish models. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +354.8% (fair value: $28.20), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -54.4% ($2.83). The spread between these extremes — +409.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About HDSN?

13 of 13 models are currently active for HDSN. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HDSN's intrinsic value at $15.30, implying +146.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HDSN Rank in Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies?

Among 5 Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks, HDSN ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places HDSN in the top tier.

As a manufacturing company, Hudson Technologies, Inc. operates in a sector where margin expansion trajectory is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating HDSN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is HDSN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HDSN a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Hudson Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.0/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +409.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HDSN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HDSN's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hudson Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks with 13-model coverage

WLFCWillis Lease Finance CorporatioQOC 8.6ASLEAerSale CorporationQOC 7.5DSGRDistribution Solutions Group, IQOC 6.6TLIHTen-League International HoldinQOC 6.0

Read investment analysis: WLFC · ASLE · DSGR · TLIH

Frequently Asked Questions About Hudson Technologies, Inc.

What is Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $15.30. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HDSN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.20, 9 of 13 active models suggest HDSN may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for HDSN?

Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HDSN?

CirclFi analyzes HDSN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HDSN a value trap in 2026?

Hudson Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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