What Is Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Delek US Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $44.38, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $60.95. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-27.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $197.55 (+224.1%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $0.78 (-98.7%). This +322.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About DK?
12 of 13 models are currently active for DK. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DK's intrinsic value at $2.61, implying -95.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does DK Rank in Petroleum Refining?
Among 17 Petroleum Refining stocks, DK ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.
As a energy producer, Delek US Holdings, Inc. operates in a sector where capital efficiency ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating DK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is DK a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DK a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Delek US Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Delek US Holdings, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +322.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every DK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across DK's 12 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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