What Is Chevron Corporation (CVX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Chevron Corporation at its current price of $182.21. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $143.17 (-21.4% average return), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +105.7% (fair value: $374.79), while EPV is the most conservative at -73.8% ($47.73). The spread between these extremes — +179.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About CVX?
13 of 13 models are currently active for CVX. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CVX's intrinsic value at $149.65, implying -17.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CVX Rank in Petroleum Refining?
Among 17 Petroleum Refining stocks, CVX ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places CVX in the top tier.
As a oil and gas company, Chevron Corporation operates in a sector where finding and development costs (F&D) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CVX should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is CVX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CVX a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Chevron Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Chevron Corporation is rated at 9.3/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +179.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CVX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CVX's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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