What Is BP p.l.c. (BP) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BP p.l.c. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $40.84. Based on our 13-model framework, BP p.l.c.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $106.43 — representing +160.6% implied upside — with 9 out of 12 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $212.56 (+420.5%), versus Regime Cross at $2.81 (-93.1%). This +513.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About BP?
12 of 13 models are currently active for BP. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BP's intrinsic value at $208.77, implying +411.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does BP Rank in Petroleum Refining?
Among 17 Petroleum Refining stocks, BP ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.
The Petroleum Refining sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy producer businesses. For BP p.l.c., metrics like reserve life index provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is BP a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BP a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for BP p.l.c.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BP p.l.c. scores 6.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +513.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every BP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across BP's 12 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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