What Is CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CVR Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $24.50. Trading at $33.45, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -26.8%), as 8 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +58.5% (fair value: $53.01), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -96.2% ($1.28). The spread between these extremes — +154.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About CVI?
13 of 13 models are currently active for CVI. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CVI's intrinsic value at $47.44, implying +41.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CVI Rank in Petroleum Refining?
Among 17 Petroleum Refining stocks, CVI ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.
CVR Energy Inc.'s positioning within the Petroleum Refining segment means that reserve replacement ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including capital discipline — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is CVI a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CVI a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for CVR Energy Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CVR Energy Inc. scores 7.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +154.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CVI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CVI's 13 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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