PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) Fair Value 2026

PPG · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) trades at $113.47, versus a $72.17 median fair value across its 11 active models — 36.4% below the current price. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $33.84.

Key Facts

Ticker
PPG
Price
$113.47
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.7/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $72.17, 36.4% below the current price of $113.47. Estimates range from $33.84 to $272.49. PPG scores 8.7/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. PPG’s -36.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Chemicals sector median is -35.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy PPG Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PPG?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($113.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $33.84 -70.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $64.87 -42.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $72.17 -36.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $49.32 -56.5%
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What Is PPG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $33.84 to $272.49

CirclFi's 11 active models place PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) between $33.84 and $272.49 per share, a spread of 331% of the median. The median of that range — $72.17 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PPG, against a current price of $113.47.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$33.84median $72.17$272.49
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$33.84
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$272.49
Model agreement2 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PPG. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PPG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, PPG Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $72.17, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $113.47. With 9 out of 11 models flagging downside (-36.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $272.49 (+140.1%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $33.84 (-70.2%). This +210.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about PPG Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About PPG?

11 of 13 models are currently active for PPG. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PPG is $72.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $33.84 on its own, implying -70.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PPG Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 69 Specialty Chemicals stocks, PPG ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places PPG in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →

Within the Specialty Chemicals space, PPG Industries, Inc. competes in an environment where organic revenue growth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PPG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PPG a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for PPG Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, PPG Industries, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +210.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PPG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PPG's 11 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy PPG Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

ECLEcolab Inc.QOC 8.7AXTAAxalta Coating Systems Ltd.QOC 8.6IOSPInnospec Inc.QOC 8.7CBTCabot CorporationQOC 8.6HWKNHawkins, Inc.QOC 8.8ESIElement Solutions IncQOC 8.6KWRQuaker Chemical CorporationQOC 7.3KROKronos Worldwide, Inc.QOC 6.4FEAV5E Advanced Materials, Inc.QOC 4.2ODCOil-Dri Corporation of AmericaQOC 9.2RPMRPM International Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: ECL · AXTA · IOSP · CBT · HWKN · ESI · KWR · KRO · FEAV · ODC · RPM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PPG?

7 companies across all industries closest to PPG’s Quality of Company score of 8.7/10.

SYYSysco CorporationQOC 8.7RGAReinsurance Group of America, IncorporatedQOC 8.7EQTEQT CorporationQOC 8.7ACMRACM Research, Inc.QOC 8.7PDLBPonce Financial Group, Inc.QOC 8.7KAIKadant Inc.QOC 8.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SYY · RGA · EQT · ACMR · PDLB · KAI · NVDA

Where Does PPG Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Chemicals Rankings?

PPG is ranked against every other Specialty Chemicals stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Chemicals stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About PPG Industries, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is PPG Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG)'s intrinsic value at $72.17 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $33.84 to $272.49. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $33.84 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PPG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $113.47, 2 of 11 active models suggest PPG may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $72.17, 36.4% below the current price of $113.47 — a consensus view that PPG is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits PPG Industries, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for PPG?

PPG Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PPG?

CirclFi analyzes PPG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PPG?

Of the 11 models currently active on PPG, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $272.49 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $33.84. CirclFi's published fair value for PPG is the median of that range, $72.17, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 331% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PPG a value trap in 2026?

PPG Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) has a median fair value of $72.17 — 36.4% below the current price of $113.47 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PPG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PPG valuation
  • Financial statements: PPG Industries, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000079879) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PPG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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