What Is CarMax Inc (KMX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CarMax Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $58.67, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $58.94. While the average implied return is -0.5%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +150.2% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $96.60 (+63.9%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $8.09 (-86.3%). This +150.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about CarMax Inc's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About KMX?
9 of 13 models are currently active for KMX. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does KMX Rank in Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations?
Among 19 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations stocks, KMX ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.
CarMax Inc's positioning within the Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations segment means that e-commerce penetration rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including omnichannel integration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is KMX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KMX a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
9 of 13 models are active for CarMax Inc. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CarMax Inc scores 5.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +150.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every KMX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across KMX's 9 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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