Valaris Limited (VAL) Fair Value 2026

VAL · Oil & Gas Drilling ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Valaris Limited (VAL) trades at $86.29, versus a $43.44 median fair value across its 7 active models — 49.7% below the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $5.99.

Key Facts

Ticker
VAL
Price
$86.29
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +71.0% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Valaris Limited (VAL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Valaris Limited (VAL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $43.44, 49.7% below the current price of $86.29. Estimates range from $4.34 to $153.43. VAL scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. VAL’s -49.7% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Valaris Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VAL?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($86.29)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.99 -93.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $43.44 -49.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $147.53 +71.0%
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What Is VAL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $4.34 to $153.43

CirclFi's 7 active models place Valaris Limited (VAL) between $4.34 and $153.43 per share, a spread of 343% of the median. The median of that range — $43.44 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VAL, against a current price of $86.29.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · ML-RIV
$4.34median $43.44$153.43
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$4.34
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$153.43
Model agreement2 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VAL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VAL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Valaris Limited (VAL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Valaris Limited at its current price of $86.29. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $43.44 (-49.7% vs price), with 5 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $153.43 (+77.8%), versus RCMH-DCF at $4.34 (-95.0%). This +172.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About VAL?

7 of 13 models are currently active for VAL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VAL is $43.44 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $5.99 on its own, implying -93.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VAL Rank in Oil & Gas Drilling?

Among 10 Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, VAL ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places VAL in the top tier.

As a energy producer, Valaris Limited operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDAX is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating VAL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is VAL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VAL a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Valaris Limited. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Valaris Limited is rated at 8.2/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +172.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VAL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VAL's 7 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Valaris Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Drilling Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Oil & Gas Drilling stocks with 13-model coverage

NENoble Corporation plcQOC 8.1BORRBorr Drilling LimitedQOC 7.8PDSPrecision Drilling CorporationQOC 7.7NBRNabors Industries Ltd.QOC 7.6PTENPatterson-UTI Energy, Inc.QOC 7.2HPHelmerich & Payne, Inc.QOC 7.1RIGTransocean Ltd.QOC 6.6SDRLSeadrill LimitedQOC 6.5SOCSable Offshore Corp.QOC 4.0

Read investment analysis: NE · BORR · PDS · NBR · PTEN · HP · RIG · SDRL · SOC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VAL?

7 companies across all industries closest to VAL’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

PNCThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.QOC 8.2PLDPrologis, Inc.QOC 8.2BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.QOC 8.2IDXGInterpace Biosciences, Inc.QOC 8.2SPNTSiriusPoint Ltd.QOC 8.2CNACNA Financial CorporationQOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PNC · PLD · BWMN · IDXG · SPNT · CNA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Valaris Limited’s Valuation?

What is Valaris Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Valaris Limited (VAL)'s intrinsic value at $43.44 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.34 to $153.43. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $5.99 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VAL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $86.29, 2 of 7 active models suggest VAL may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $43.44, 49.7% below the current price of $86.29 — a consensus view that VAL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Valaris Limited's business model in Oil & Gas Drilling.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for VAL?

Valaris Limited's QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VAL?

CirclFi analyzes VAL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VAL?

Of the 7 models currently active on VAL, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $153.43 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $4.34. CirclFi's published fair value for VAL is the median of that range, $43.44, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 343% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VAL a value trap in 2026?

Valaris Limited's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Valaris Limited (VAL) has a median fair value of $43.44 — 49.7% below the current price of $86.29 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VAL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VAL valuation
  • Financial statements: Valaris Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000314808) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VAL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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