Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS) Fair Value 2026

ELS · REIT - Residential ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS) trades at $63.74, versus a $34.75 median fair value across its 8 active models — 45.5% below the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ELS
Price
$63.74
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.3/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $34.75, 45.5% below the current price of $63.74. Estimates range from $4.42 to $62.96. ELS scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ELS’s -45.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Residential sector median is -41.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ELS?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($63.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.42 -93.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $34.20 -46.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $47.51 -25.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $35.29 -44.6%
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What Is ELS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $4.42 to $62.96

CirclFi's 8 active models place Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS) between $4.42 and $62.96 per share, a spread of 168% of the median. The median of that range — $34.75 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ELS, against a current price of $63.74.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$4.42median $34.75$62.96
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$4.42
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$62.96
Model agreement0 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ELS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ELS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $34.75. Trading at its current price of $63.74, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -45.5%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $62.96 (-1.2%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $4.42 (-93.1%). This +91.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ELS?

8 of 13 models are currently active for ELS. All 8 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ELS is $34.75 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ELS Rank in REIT - Residential?

Among 21 REIT - Residential stocks, ELS ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places ELS in the top tier.

The REIT - Residential sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate businesses. For Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc., metrics like debt-to-EBITDA provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ELS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ELS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.3/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ELS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ELS's 8 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Residential Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related REIT - Residential stocks with 13-model coverage

UDRUDR, Inc.QOC 8.3IRTIndependence Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 8.0INVHInvitation Homes Inc.QOC 8.5ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.QOC 7.9JANJanus Living, Inc.QOC 5.0CSRCenterspaceQOC 7.8AVBAvalonBay Communities IncQOC 7.6VMRKAvalonBay Communities, Inc.QOC 6.9CLPRClipper Realty Inc.QOC 5.6

Read investment analysis: UDR · IRT · INVH · ESS · JAN · CSR · AVB · VMRK · CLPR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ELS?

7 companies across all industries closest to ELS’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

TSBKTimberland Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.3ARLOArlo Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.3PFSProvident Financial Services, Inc.QOC 8.3BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc.QOC 8.3RCMTRCM Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.3EEFTEuronet Worldwide, Inc.QOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TSBK · ARLO · PFS · BJRI · RCMT · EEFT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS)'s intrinsic value at $34.75 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.42 to $62.96. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ELS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $63.74, 0 of 8 active models suggest ELS may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $34.75, 45.5% below the current price of $63.74 — a consensus view that ELS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Residential.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for ELS?

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.'s QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ELS?

CirclFi analyzes ELS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ELS?

Of the 8 models currently active on ELS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $62.96 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $4.42. CirclFi's published fair value for ELS is the median of that range, $34.75, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 168% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ELS a value trap in 2026?

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS) has a median fair value of $34.75 — 45.5% below the current price of $63.74 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ELS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ELS valuation
  • Financial statements: Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000895417) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ELS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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