What Is Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $8.23. Trading at its current price of $13.11, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -37.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $45.89 (+250.1%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.38 (-89.5%). This +339.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About ARLO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ARLO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ARLO's intrinsic value at $4.69, implying -64.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ARLO Rank in Building Products & Equipment?
Among 6 Building Products & Equipment stocks, ARLO ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places ARLO in the top tier.
Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s positioning within the Building Products & Equipment segment means that working capital efficiency plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is ARLO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ARLO a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Arlo Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Arlo Technologies, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +339.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ARLO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ARLO's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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