Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) Fair Value 2026

APOG · Building Products & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) trades at $40.62, versus a $49.66 median fair value across its 13 active models — 22.3% above the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $65.95.

Key Facts

Ticker
APOG
Price
$40.62
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +332.1% upside with 65% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Is Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) appears undervalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $49.66, 22.3% above the current price of $40.62. Estimates range from $14.32 to $175.51. APOG scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. APOG’s +22.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Building Products & Equipment sector median is -32.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Apogee Enterprises, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give APOG?

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($40.62)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $65.95 +62.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.32 -64.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $49.66 +22.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $175.51 +332.1%
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What Is APOG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 13 independent models · $14.32 to $175.51

CirclFi's 13 active models place Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) between $14.32 and $175.51 per share, a spread of 325% of the median. The median of that range — $49.66 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for APOG, against a current price of $40.62.

Low · EPVHigh · First Chicago
$14.32median $49.66$175.51
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$14.32
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$175.51
Model agreement7 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for APOG. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on APOG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Apogee Enterprises, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $49.66, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $40.62. With a median implied return of +22.3% across a split 7–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +396.8% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +332.1% (fair value: $175.51), while EPV is the most conservative at -64.8% ($14.32). The spread between these extremes — +396.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About APOG?

13 of 13 models are currently active for APOG. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for APOG is $49.66 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $65.95 on its own, implying +62.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APOG Rank in Building Products & Equipment?

Among 38 Building Products & Equipment stocks, APOG ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

As a manufacturing company, Apogee Enterprises, Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating APOG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is APOG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APOG a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Apogee Enterprises, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Apogee Enterprises, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +396.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APOG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APOG's 13 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Apogee Enterprises, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Products & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Building Products & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

JBIJanus International Group, Inc.QOC 7.9NPKINPK International Inc.QOC 7.8AAONAAON, Inc.QOC 8.0ROCKGibraltar Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7GFFGriffon CorporationQOC 8.0JLHLJulong Holding LimitedQOC 7.6BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.QOC 7.3MAIRMadison Air Solutions CorporationQOC 4.8SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9TTTrane Technologies plcQOC 9.4LIILennox International Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: JBI · NPKI · AAON · ROCK · GFF · JLHL · BLDR · MAIR · SPXC · TT · LII

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to APOG?

7 companies across all industries closest to APOG’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

CAECAE Inc.QOC 7.8EMNEastman Chemical CompanyQOC 7.8MFCManulife Financial CorporationQOC 7.8PDEXPro-Dex, Inc.QOC 7.8VALUValue Line, Inc.QOC 7.8COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CAE · EMN · MFC · PDEX · VALU · COLB · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Apogee Enterprises, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Apogee Enterprises, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG)'s intrinsic value at $49.66 — the median of 13 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $14.32 to $175.51. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $65.95 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APOG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $40.62, 8 of 13 active models suggest APOG may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $49.66, 22.3% above the current price of $40.62 — a consensus view that APOG is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Apogee Enterprises, Inc.'s business model in Building Products & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for APOG?

Apogee Enterprises, Inc.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APOG?

CirclFi analyzes APOG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on APOG?

Of the 13 models currently active on APOG, First Chicago is the most bullish at $175.51 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $14.32. CirclFi's published fair value for APOG is the median of that range, $49.66, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 325% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is APOG a value trap in 2026?

Apogee Enterprises, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) has a median fair value of $49.66 — 22.3% above the current price of $40.62 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/APOG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this APOG valuation
  • Financial statements: Apogee Enterprises, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000006845) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for APOG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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