Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Fair Value 2026

LII · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Lennox International, Inc. (LII) trades at $551.16, approximately 235% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $164.53. QOC: 10.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LII
Price
$551.16
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 10.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($551.16)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $164.53 -70.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $137.15 -75.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
 $248.77 -54.9%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $482.14 -12.5%

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What Is Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lennox International, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $288.23. Trading at its current price of $551.16, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -47.7%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $528.99 (-4.0%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $114.14 (-79.3%). This +75.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Lennox International, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About LII?

12 of 13 models are currently active for LII. All 12 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates LII's intrinsic value at $164.53, implying -70.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LII Rank in Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip?

Among 5 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip stocks, LII ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places LII in the top tier.

Lennox International, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LII a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LII a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Lennox International, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Lennox International, Inc. earns a quality score of 10.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +75.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LII valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LII's 12 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lennox International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip stocks with 13-model coverage

CARRCarrier Global CorporationQOC 8.0JCIJohnson Controls International QOC 7.9TGENTecogen Inc.QOC 6.9GCDTGreen Circle Decarbonize TechnoQOC 2.0

Read investment analysis: CARR · JCI · TGEN · GCDT

Frequently Asked Questions About Lennox International, Inc.

What is Lennox International, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Lennox International, Inc. (LII) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $164.53. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LII overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $551.16, 0 of 12 active models suggest LII may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lennox International, Inc.'s business model in Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for LII?

Lennox International, Inc.'s QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LII?

CirclFi analyzes LII with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LII a value trap in 2026?

Lennox International, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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