Lennox International Inc. (LII) Fair Value 2026

LII · Building Products & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Lennox International Inc. (LII) trades at $391.15, versus a $279.03 median fair value across its 9 active models — 28.7% below the current price. QOC: 9.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $279.03.

Key Facts

Ticker
LII
Price
$391.15
Quality Score
9.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Lennox International Inc. (LII) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Lennox International Inc. (LII) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $279.03, 28.7% below the current price of $391.15. Estimates range from $126.78 to $818.93. LII scores 9.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. LII’s -28.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Building Products & Equipment sector median is -32.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Lennox International Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LII?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($391.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $279.03 -28.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $159.10 -59.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $270.94 -30.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $126.78 -67.6%
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What Is LII's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $126.78 to $818.93

CirclFi's 9 active models place Lennox International Inc. (LII) between $126.78 and $818.93 per share, a spread of 248% of the median. The median of that range — $279.03 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LII, against a current price of $391.15.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$126.78median $279.03$818.93
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$126.78
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$818.93
Model agreement2 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LII. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LII, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Lennox International Inc. (LII) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lennox International Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $279.03. Trading at its current price of $391.15, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -28.7%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $818.93 (+109.4%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $126.78 (-67.6%). This +177.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Lennox International Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About LII?

9 of 13 models are currently active for LII. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LII is $279.03 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $279.03 on its own, implying -28.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LII Rank in Building Products & Equipment?

Among 38 Building Products & Equipment stocks, LII ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places LII in the top tier.

The Building Products & Equipment sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Lennox International Inc., metrics like book-to-bill ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is LII a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LII a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Lennox International Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Lennox International Inc. earns a quality score of 9.4/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +177.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LII valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LII's 9 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lennox International Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Products & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Building Products & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

TTTrane Technologies plcQOC 9.4CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedQOC 9.2ILAGIntelligent Living Application Group Inc.QOC 1.7AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.QOC 9.0CSTECaesarstone Ltd.QOC 3.0SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9TREXTrex Company, Inc.QOC 8.1LPXLouisiana-Pacific CorporationQOC 7.5JELDJELD-WEN Holding, Inc.QOC 5.8

Read investment analysis: TT · CSL · ILAG · AWI · CSTE · SPXC · TREX · LPX · JELD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LII?

6 companies across all industries closest to LII’s Quality of Company score of 9.4/10.

ADBEAdobe Inc.QOC 9.4RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.QOC 9.4JFINJiayin Group Inc.QOC 9.4GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.4AMATApplied Materials, Inc.QOC 9.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ADBE · RNR · JFIN · GSL · AMAT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Lennox International Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Lennox International Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Lennox International Inc. (LII)'s intrinsic value at $279.03 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $126.78 to $818.93. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $279.03 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LII overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $391.15, 2 of 9 active models suggest LII may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $279.03, 28.7% below the current price of $391.15 — a consensus view that LII is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lennox International Inc.'s business model in Building Products & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.4 mean for LII?

Lennox International Inc.'s QOC of 9.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LII?

CirclFi analyzes LII with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LII?

Of the 9 models currently active on LII, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $818.93 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $126.78. CirclFi's published fair value for LII is the median of that range, $279.03, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 248% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LII a value trap in 2026?

Lennox International Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Lennox International Inc. (LII) has a median fair value of $279.03 — 28.7% below the current price of $391.15 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LII/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LII valuation
  • Financial statements: Lennox International Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001069202) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LII as of ; valuations recomputed .

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