Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) Fair Value 2026

SWIM · Building Products & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) trades at $6.98, versus a $5.11 median fair value across its 9 active models — 26.7% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SWIM
Price
$6.98
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +110.7% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $5.11, 26.7% below the current price of $6.98. Estimates range from $0.38 to $14.71. SWIM scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SWIM’s -26.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Building Products & Equipment sector median is -32.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Latham Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SWIM?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $4.88 -30.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $14.71 +110.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.65 -90.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.38 -94.6%
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What Is SWIM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $0.38 to $14.71

CirclFi's 9 active models place Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) between $0.38 and $14.71 per share, a spread of 280% of the median. The median of that range — $5.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SWIM, against a current price of $6.98.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$0.38median $5.11$14.71
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.38
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$14.71
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SWIM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SWIM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Latham Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $5.11. Trading at $6.98, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -26.7%), as 6 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $14.71 (+110.7%), versus ML-RIV at $0.38 (-94.6%). This +205.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SWIM?

9 of 13 models are currently active for SWIM. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SWIM is $5.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SWIM Rank in Building Products & Equipment?

Among 38 Building Products & Equipment stocks, SWIM ranks #22 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Latham Group, Inc.'s positioning within the Building Products & Equipment segment means that book-to-bill ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including automation and productivity gains — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is SWIM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SWIM a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Latham Group, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Latham Group, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +205.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SWIM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SWIM's 9 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Latham Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Products & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Building Products & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

LPXLouisiana-Pacific CorporationQOC 7.5APTAlpha Pro Tech, Ltd.QOC 7.4PPIHPerma-Pipe International Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.5BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.QOC 7.3CARRCarrier Global CorporationQOC 7.5FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.QOC 7.3SNTLSentinel Holdings Ltd.QOC 5.2CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedQOC 9.2GFFGriffon CorporationQOC 8.0TTTrane Technologies plcQOC 9.4LIILennox International Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: LPX · APT · PPIH · BLDR · CARR · FBIN · SNTL · CSL · GFF · TT · LII

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SWIM?

7 companies across all industries closest to SWIM’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc.QOC 7.4DARDarling Ingredients Inc.QOC 7.4EVRGEvergy, Inc.QOC 7.4OUTOUTFRONT Media Inc.QOC 7.4PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group IncorporatedQOC 7.4EPCEdgewell Personal Care CompanyQOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NPK · DAR · EVRG · OUT · PEG · EPC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Latham Group, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Latham Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM)'s intrinsic value at $5.11 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.38 to $14.71. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SWIM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.98, 2 of 9 active models suggest SWIM may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $5.11, 26.7% below the current price of $6.98 — a consensus view that SWIM is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Latham Group, Inc.'s business model in Building Products & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for SWIM?

Latham Group, Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SWIM?

CirclFi analyzes SWIM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SWIM?

Of the 9 models currently active on SWIM, First Chicago is the most bullish at $14.71 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.38. CirclFi's published fair value for SWIM is the median of that range, $5.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 280% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SWIM a value trap in 2026?

Latham Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) has a median fair value of $5.11 — 26.7% below the current price of $6.98 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SWIM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SWIM valuation
  • Financial statements: Latham Group, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001833197) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SWIM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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