What Is Kratos Defense & Security Solut (KTOS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kratos Defense & Security Solut's intrinsic value is estimated at $14.86, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $50.36. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-70.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $53.70 (+6.6%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $0.27 (-99.5%). This +106.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Kratos Defense & Security Solut's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About KTOS?
13 of 13 models are currently active for KTOS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates KTOS's intrinsic value at $7.92, implying -84.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does KTOS Rank in Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts?
Among 9 Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts stocks, KTOS ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places KTOS in the top tier.
Within the Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts space, Kratos Defense & Security Solut competes in an environment where fleet electrification pace often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is KTOS a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for KTOS. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Kratos Defense & Security Solut. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Kratos Defense & Security Solut is rated at 8.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +106.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every KTOS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across KTOS's 13 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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