What Is Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mercury Systems Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $25.28, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $98.26. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-74.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $113.56 (+15.6%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $1.90 (-98.1%). This +113.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Mercury Systems Inc's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About MRCY?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MRCY. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MRCY's intrinsic value at $24.27, implying -75.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MRCY Rank in Electronic Components & Accessories?
Among 8 Electronic Components & Accessories stocks, MRCY ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.
Mercury Systems Inc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is MRCY a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MRCY a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Mercury Systems Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Mercury Systems Inc's fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +113.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MRCY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MRCY's 13 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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