Mobilicom Limited (MOB) Fair Value 2026

MOB · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, Mobilicom Limited (MOB) trades at $5.54, versus a $9.64 median fair value across its 2 active models — 74.0% above the current price. QOC: 5.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MOB
Price
$5.54
Quality Score
5.2/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +158.2% upside with 37% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Mobilicom Limited (MOB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Mobilicom Limited (MOB) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $9.64, 74.0% above the current price of $5.54. Estimates range from $4.97 to $14.31. MOB scores 5.2/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. MOB’s +74.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -31.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Mobilicom Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MOB?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.54)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $14.31 +158.2%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $4.97 -10.3%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Mobilicom Limited (MOB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mobilicom Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a median $9.64, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $5.54. While the median implied return is +74.0%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +168.5% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $14.31 (+158.2%), while FTNN — the most conservative — estimates $4.97 (-10.3%). This +168.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Mobilicom Limited's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About MOB?

2 of 13 models are currently active for MOB. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MOB is $9.64 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MOB Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 95 Aerospace & Defense stocks, MOB ranks #65 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

The Aerospace & Defense sector introduces analytical considerations specific to aerospace and defense businesses. For Mobilicom Limited, metrics like free cash flow conversion provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is MOB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MOB a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Mobilicom Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Mobilicom Limited earns a quality score of 5.2/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +168.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MOB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MOB's 2 active models, average confidence is 21%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Mobilicom Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

EVTLVertical Aerospace Ltd.QOC 5.3SIDUSidus Space, Inc.QOC 5.2VWAVVisionWave Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.3HOVRNew Horizon Aircraft Ltd.QOC 5.1VOYGVoyager Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.5MRLNMerlin, Inc.QOC 5.1YSSYork Space Systems, Inc.QOC 3.6GDGeneral Dynamics CorporationQOC 8.4RGRSturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.QOC 6.9BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: EVTL · SIDU · VWAV · HOVR · VOYG · MRLN · YSS · GD · RGR · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MOB?

7 companies across all industries closest to MOB’s Quality of Company score of 5.2/10.

OKLOOklo Inc.QOC 5.2COYACoya Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 5.2SERVServe Robotics Inc.QOC 5.2FGLFounder Group LimitedQOC 5.2ENGSEnergys Group LimitedQOC 5.2EXODExodus Movement, Inc.QOC 5.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OKLO · COYA · SERV · FGL · ENGS · EXOD · NVDA

Where Does MOB Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

MOB is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Mobilicom Limited’s Valuation?

What is Mobilicom Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Mobilicom Limited (MOB)'s intrinsic value at $9.64 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $4.97 to $14.31. The Quality of Company score is 5.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MOB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.54, 1 of 2 active models suggest MOB may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $9.64, 74.0% above the current price of $5.54 — a consensus view that MOB is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Mobilicom Limited's business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.2 mean for MOB?

Mobilicom Limited's QOC of 5.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MOB?

CirclFi analyzes MOB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MOB a value trap in 2026?

Mobilicom Limited's Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Mobilicom Limited (MOB) has a median fair value of $9.64 — 74.0% above the current price of $5.54 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MOB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MOB valuation
  • Financial statements: Mobilicom Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001898643) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MOB as of ; valuations recomputed .