Nauticus Robotics, Inc. (KITT) Fair Value 2026

KITT · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (51/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Nauticus Robotics, Inc. (KITT) trades at $0.80, versus a $1.84 median fair value across its 2 active models — 131.4% above the current price. QOC: 3.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 51/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KITT
Price
$0.80
Quality Score
3.5/10
Value Trap Risk
51/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +315.6% upside with 32% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 51 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Nauticus Robotics, Inc. (KITT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Nauticus Robotics, Inc. (KITT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $1.84, 131.4% above the current price of $0.80. Estimates range from $0.38 to $3.31. KITT scores 3.5/10 on fundamental quality and 51/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. KITT’s +131.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -32.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Nauticus Robotics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KITT?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.80)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
$0.38 -52.7%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$3.31 +315.6%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Nauticus Robotics, Inc. (KITT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nauticus Robotics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.84, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $0.80. With a median implied return of +131.4% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +368.3% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +315.6% (fair value: $3.31), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -52.7% ($0.38). The spread between these extremes — +368.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About KITT?

2 of 13 models are currently active for KITT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KITT is $1.84 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KITT Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, KITT ranks #90 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.5 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

The Aerospace & Defense sector introduces analytical considerations specific to defense contractor businesses. For Nauticus Robotics, Inc., metrics like free cash flow conversion provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is KITT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KITT a score of 51/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Nauticus Robotics, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nauticus Robotics, Inc. scores 3.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +368.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KITT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KITT's 2 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Nauticus Robotics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: DPC · AADX · YSS · ESLT · XERI · PRZO · ATRO · AVAV · SIDU · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KITT?

7 companies across all industries closest to KITT’s Quality of Company score of 3.5/10.

Read investment analysis: HQ · LNAI · PTCO · CERO · AKTS · GTCH · NVDA

Where Does KITT Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

KITT is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Nauticus Robotics, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Nauticus Robotics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Nauticus Robotics, Inc. (KITT)'s intrinsic value at $1.84 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.38 to $3.31. The Quality of Company score is 3.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KITT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.80, 1 of 2 active models suggest KITT may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $1.84, 131.4% above the current price of $0.80 — a consensus view that KITT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Nauticus Robotics, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.5 mean for KITT?

Nauticus Robotics, Inc.'s QOC of 3.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KITT?

CirclFi analyzes KITT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is KITT a value trap in 2026?

Nauticus Robotics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 51/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Nauticus Robotics, Inc. (KITT) has a median fair value of $1.84 — 131.4% above the current price of $0.80 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KITT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KITT valuation
  • Financial statements: Nauticus Robotics, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001849820) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KITT as of ; valuations recomputed .