Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) Fair Value 2026

RRX · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) trades at $163.92, versus a $159.14 median fair value across its 11 active models — 2.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $310.28.

Key Facts

Ticker
RRX
Price
$163.92
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +89.3% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $159.14, within 2.9% of the current price of $163.92. Estimates range from $19.98 to $477.42. RRX scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 28/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. RRX’s -2.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Regal Rexnord Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RRX?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($163.92)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $310.28 +89.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $167.67 +2.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $275.91 +68.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $65.03 -60.3%
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What Is RRX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $19.98 to $477.42

CirclFi's 11 active models place Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) between $19.98 and $477.42 per share, a spread of 287% of the median. The median of that range — $159.14 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RRX, against a current price of $163.92.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$19.98median $159.14$477.42
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$19.98
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$477.42
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RRX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RRX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Regal Rexnord Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median $159.14, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $163.92. While the median implied return is -2.9%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +279.1% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $477.42 (+191.2%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $19.98 (-87.8%). This +279.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Regal Rexnord Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About RRX?

11 of 13 models are currently active for RRX. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RRX is $159.14 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $310.28 on its own, implying +89.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RRX Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, RRX ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places RRX in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

The Specialty Industrial Machinery sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Regal Rexnord Corporation, metrics like working capital efficiency provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is RRX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RRX a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Regal Rexnord Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Regal Rexnord Corporation earns a quality score of 8.4/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +279.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RRX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RRX's 11 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Regal Rexnord Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

OTISOtis Worldwide CorporationQOC 8.4CRCrane CompanyQOC 8.3EMREmerson Electric Co.QOC 8.4PSIXPower Solutions International, Inc.QOC 8.2IEXIDEX CorporationQOC 8.5AMSCAmerican Superconductor CorporationQOC 8.1NNENANO Nuclear Energy Inc.QOC 6.1MFPMidera Food Processing, Inc.QOC 4.3GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.QOC 9.0EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: OTIS · CR · EMR · PSIX · IEX · AMSC · NNE · MFP · GTES · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RRX?

7 companies across all industries closest to RRX’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

ATROAstronics CorporationQOC 8.4TTCThe Toro CompanyQOC 8.4WILCG. Willi-Food International Ltd.QOC 8.4NUTXNutex Health Inc.QOC 8.4CHTRCharter Communications, Inc.QOC 8.4MITKMitek Systems, Inc.QOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ATRO · TTC · WILC · NUTX · CHTR · MITK · NVDA

Where Does RRX Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

RRX is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Regal Rexnord Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Regal Rexnord Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX)'s intrinsic value at $159.14 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $19.98 to $477.42. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $310.28 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RRX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $163.92, 5 of 11 active models suggest RRX may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $159.14, within 2.9% of the current price of $163.92 — a consensus view that RRX is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Regal Rexnord Corporation's business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for RRX?

Regal Rexnord Corporation's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RRX?

CirclFi analyzes RRX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RRX?

Of the 11 models currently active on RRX, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $477.42 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $19.98. CirclFi's published fair value for RRX is the median of that range, $159.14, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 287% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RRX a value trap in 2026?

Regal Rexnord Corporation's Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) has a median fair value of $159.14 — within 2.9% of the current price of $163.92 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RRX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RRX valuation
  • Financial statements: Regal Rexnord Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000082811) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RRX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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