Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) Fair Value 2026

GNRC · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) trades at $197.29, versus a $53.14 median fair value across its 11 active models — 73.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $30.05.

Key Facts

Ticker
GNRC
Price
$197.29
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $53.14, 73.1% below the current price of $197.29. Estimates range from $21.27 to $410.13. GNRC scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GNRC’s -73.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Generac Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GNRC?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($197.29)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $30.05 -84.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $40.05 -79.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $63.03 -68.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $191.17 -3.1%
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What Is GNRC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $21.27 to $410.13

CirclFi's 11 active models place Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) between $21.27 and $410.13 per share, a spread of 732% of the median. The median of that range — $53.14 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GNRC, against a current price of $197.29.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$21.27median $53.14$410.13
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$21.27
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$410.13
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GNRC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GNRC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Generac Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $53.14. Trading at its current price of $197.29, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -73.1%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +107.9% (fair value: $410.13), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -89.2% ($21.27). The spread between these extremes — +197.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GNRC?

11 of 13 models are currently active for GNRC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GNRC is $53.14 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $30.05 on its own, implying -84.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GNRC Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, GNRC ranks #39 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

Generac Holdings Inc.'s positioning within the Specialty Industrial Machinery segment means that margin expansion trajectory plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including infrastructure spending cycle — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is GNRC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GNRC a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Generac Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Generac Holdings Inc. earns a quality score of 8.0/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +197.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GNRC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GNRC's 11 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Generac Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

NPOEnpro Inc.QOC 8.0HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7OFLXOmega Flex, Inc.QOC 8.0PKOHPark-Ohio Holdings Corp.QOC 7.7TNCTennant CompanyQOC 8.1JCSEJE Cleantech Holdings LimitedQOC 7.7NEWHNewHydrogen, Inc.QOC 5.0HUHUHUHUTECH International Group Inc.QOC 2.8GRCThe Gorman-Rupp CompanyQOC 8.8EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: NPO · HLIO · OFLX · PKOH · TNC · JCSE · NEWH · HUHU · GRC · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GNRC?

7 companies across all industries closest to GNRC’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

FIEEFiEE, Inc.QOC 8.0SPFISouth Plains Financial, Inc.QOC 8.0CBANColony Bankcorp, Inc.QOC 8.0WNEBWestern New England Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.0AMRZAmrize LtdQOC 8.0TBCHTurtle Beach CorporationQOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FIEE · SPFI · CBAN · WNEB · AMRZ · TBCH · NVDA

Where Does GNRC Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

GNRC is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Generac Holdings Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Generac Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC)'s intrinsic value at $53.14 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $21.27 to $410.13. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $30.05 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GNRC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $197.29, 1 of 11 active models suggest GNRC may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $53.14, 73.1% below the current price of $197.29 — a consensus view that GNRC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Generac Holdings Inc.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for GNRC?

Generac Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GNRC?

CirclFi analyzes GNRC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GNRC?

Of the 11 models currently active on GNRC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $410.13 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $21.27. CirclFi's published fair value for GNRC is the median of that range, $53.14, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 732% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GNRC a value trap in 2026?

Generac Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) has a median fair value of $53.14 — 73.1% below the current price of $197.29 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GNRC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GNRC valuation
  • Financial statements: Generac Holdings Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001474735) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GNRC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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