JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) Fair Value 2026

JBTM · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (45/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) trades at $117.99, versus a $78.75 median fair value across its 11 active models — 33.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 45/100 (WARN). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $45.99.

Key Facts

Ticker
JBTM
Price
$117.99
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
45/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +55.8% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 45 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $78.75, 33.3% below the current price of $117.99. Estimates range from $13.56 to $338.40. JBTM scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 45/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. JBTM’s -33.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy JBT Marel Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give JBTM?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($117.99)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $45.99 -61.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.47 -87.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $78.75 -33.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $183.81 +55.8%
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What Is JBTM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $13.56 to $338.40

CirclFi's 11 active models place JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) between $13.56 and $338.40 per share, a spread of 412% of the median. The median of that range — $78.75 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for JBTM, against a current price of $117.99.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$13.56median $78.75$338.40
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$13.56
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$338.40
Model agreement4 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for JBTM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on JBTM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, JBT Marel Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $78.75, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $117.99. With a median implied return of -33.3% across a split 4–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +275.3% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +186.8% (fair value: $338.40), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -88.5% ($13.56). The spread between these extremes — +275.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About JBTM?

11 of 13 models are currently active for JBTM. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for JBTM is $78.75 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $45.99 on its own, implying -61.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does JBTM Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, JBTM ranks #43 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

Within the Specialty Industrial Machinery space, JBT Marel Corporation competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is JBTM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JBTM a score of 45/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for JBT Marel Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, JBT Marel Corporation is rated at 7.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +275.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every JBTM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across JBTM's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy JBT Marel Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

JCSEJE Cleantech Holdings LimitedQOC 7.7MIRMirion Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.6PKOHPark-Ohio Holdings Corp.QOC 7.7TWINTwin Disc, IncorporatedQOC 7.5HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7LXFRLuxfer Holdings PLCQOC 7.4INIOInnio N.V.QOC 4.8EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4KAIKadant Inc.QOC 8.7WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: JCSE · MIR · PKOH · TWIN · HLIO · LXFR · INIO · EPAC · KAI · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to JBTM?

7 companies across all industries closest to JBTM’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

LFUSLittelfuse, Inc.QOC 7.6AXGNAxogen, Inc.QOC 7.6GCOGenesco Inc.QOC 7.6ACCSACCESS Newswire Inc.QOC 7.6ABBVAbbVie Inc.QOC 7.6PFSBPFS Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: LFUS · AXGN · GCO · ACCS · ABBV · PFSB · NVDA

Where Does JBTM Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

JBTM is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About JBT Marel Corporation’s Valuation?

What is JBT Marel Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM)'s intrinsic value at $78.75 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $13.56 to $338.40. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $45.99 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is JBTM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $117.99, 4 of 11 active models suggest JBTM may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $78.75, 33.3% below the current price of $117.99 — a consensus view that JBTM is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits JBT Marel Corporation's business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for JBTM?

JBT Marel Corporation's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on JBTM?

CirclFi analyzes JBTM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on JBTM?

Of the 11 models currently active on JBTM, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $338.40 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $13.56. CirclFi's published fair value for JBTM is the median of that range, $78.75, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 412% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is JBTM a value trap in 2026?

JBT Marel Corporation's Value Trap score is 45/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) has a median fair value of $78.75 — 33.3% below the current price of $117.99 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/JBTM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this JBTM valuation
  • Financial statements: JBT Marel Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001433660) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for JBTM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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