What Is Helios Technologies, Inc. (HLIO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Helios Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $39.48. Trading at its current price of $79.68, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -50.5%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $91.43 (+14.7%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $2.54 (-96.8%). This +111.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Helios Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About HLIO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for HLIO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HLIO's intrinsic value at $45.84, implying -42.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does HLIO Rank in Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products?
Among 8 Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products stocks, HLIO ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places HLIO in the top tier.
The Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Helios Technologies, Inc., metrics like working capital efficiency provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is HLIO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HLIO a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Helios Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Helios Technologies, Inc. scores 8.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +111.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every HLIO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across HLIO's 13 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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