What Is Marriott International (MAR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Marriott International's intrinsic value is estimated at $304.98. Trading at its current price of $363.19, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -16.0%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $1,695.40 (+366.8%), versus Dynamic NAV at $41.33 (-88.6%). This +455.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About MAR?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MAR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MAR's intrinsic value at $155.61, implying -57.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MAR Rank in Hotels & Motels?
Among 28 Hotels & Motels stocks, MAR ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places MAR in the top tier.
Marriott International operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is MAR a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for MAR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Marriott International. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Marriott International scores 8.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +455.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MAR's 13 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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