Taylor Devices, Inc. (TAYD) Fair Value 2026

TAYD · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Taylor Devices, Inc. (TAYD) trades at $55.73, approximately 153% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $22.02. QOC: 9.9/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TAYD
Price
$55.73
Quality Score
9.9/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.9/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($55.73)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$22.02 -60.5%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$9.37 -83.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$34.95 -37.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$47.22 -15.3%

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What Is Taylor Devices, Inc. (TAYD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Taylor Devices, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $39.65. Trading at its current price of $55.73, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -28.9%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $83.73 (+50.2%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $9.37 (-83.2%). This +133.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Taylor Devices, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TAYD?

13 of 13 models are currently active for TAYD. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TAYD's intrinsic value at $22.02, implying -60.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TAYD Rank in General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC?

Among 14 General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC stocks, TAYD ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.9 places TAYD in the top tier.

Taylor Devices, Inc.'s positioning within the General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and services growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TAYD a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TAYD. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Taylor Devices, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Taylor Devices, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.9/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +133.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TAYD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TAYD's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Taylor Devices, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Taylor Devices, Inc.

What is Taylor Devices, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Taylor Devices, Inc. (TAYD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $22.02. The Quality of Company score is 9.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TAYD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $55.73, 3 of 13 active models suggest TAYD may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Taylor Devices, Inc.'s business model in General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.9 mean for TAYD?

Taylor Devices, Inc.'s QOC of 9.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TAYD?

CirclFi analyzes TAYD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TAYD a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for TAYD at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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