ATS Corporation (ATS) Fair Value 2026

ATS · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, ATS Corporation (ATS) trades at $27.31, approximately 470% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.79. QOC: 8.3/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ATS
Price
$27.31
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +132.7% upside with 38% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.31)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$4.79 -82.5%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$17.82 -34.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$23.30 -14.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$63.55 +132.7%

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What Is ATS Corporation (ATS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ATS Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $24.98, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $27.31. With an average implied return of -8.5% across a split 3–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +224.2% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +132.7% (fair value: $63.55), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -91.5% ($2.32). The spread between these extremes — +224.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ATS?

12 of 13 models are currently active for ATS. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ATS's intrinsic value at $4.79, implying -82.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ATS Rank in General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC?

Among 14 General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC stocks, ATS ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places ATS in the top tier.

The General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For ATS Corporation, metrics like book-to-bill ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ATS a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ATS. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for ATS Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, ATS Corporation earns a quality score of 8.3/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +224.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ATS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ATS's 12 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ATS Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: TAYD · ESAB · RRX · HSAI · NDSN

Frequently Asked Questions About ATS Corporation

What is ATS Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, ATS Corporation (ATS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.79. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ATS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.31, 5 of 12 active models suggest ATS may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ATS Corporation's business model in General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for ATS?

ATS Corporation's QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ATS?

CirclFi analyzes ATS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ATS a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for ATS at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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