ATS Corporation (ATS) Fair Value 2026

ATS · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, ATS Corporation (ATS) trades at $19.41, versus a $5.92 median fair value across its 10 active models — 69.5% below the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.79.

Key Facts

Ticker
ATS
Price
$19.41
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is ATS Corporation (ATS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, ATS Corporation (ATS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $5.92, 69.5% below the current price of $19.41. Estimates range from $1.82 to $50.36. ATS scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ATS’s -69.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy ATS Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ATS?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.41)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.79 -85.6%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $9.62 -50.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $7.49 -61.4%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $3.94 -79.7%
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What Is ATS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $1.82 to $50.36

CirclFi's 10 active models place ATS Corporation (ATS) between $1.82 and $50.36 per share, a spread of 820% of the median. The median of that range — $5.92 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ATS, against a current price of $19.41.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · Regime Cross
$1.82median $5.92$50.36
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$1.82
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$50.36
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ATS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ATS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is ATS Corporation (ATS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ATS Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $5.92. Trading at its current price of $19.41, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -69.5%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +159.5% (fair value: $50.36), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -90.6% ($1.82). The spread between these extremes — +250.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ATS?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ATS. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ATS is $5.92 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.79 on its own, implying -85.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ATS Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, ATS ranks #54 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

The Specialty Industrial Machinery sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For ATS Corporation, metrics like book-to-bill ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ATS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ATS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for ATS Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, ATS Corporation earns a quality score of 5.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +250.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ATS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ATS's 10 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ATS Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

BWBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.QOC 6.1LASELaser Photonics CorporationQOC 5.6NNENANO Nuclear Energy Inc.QOC 6.1CVATCavitation Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.6HURCHurco Companies, Inc.QOC 6.8NGTFNightfood Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.5EROCERock, Inc.QOC 4.0AMEAMETEK, Inc.QOC 8.9PSIXPower Solutions International, Inc.QOC 8.2EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: BW · LASE · NNE · CVAT · HURC · NGTF · EROC · AME · PSIX · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ATS?

7 companies across all industries closest to ATS’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

PDYNPalladyne AI Corp.QOC 5.8TKNOAlpha Teknova, Inc.QOC 5.8FVNFuture Vision II Acquisition Corp.QOC 5.8SLNHSoluna Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.8RLEARubber Leaf Inc.QOC 5.8ACHAccendra Health, Inc.QOC 5.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PDYN · TKNO · FVN · SLNH · RLEA · ACH · NVDA

Where Does ATS Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

ATS is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About ATS Corporation’s Valuation?

What is ATS Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts ATS Corporation (ATS)'s intrinsic value at $5.92 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.82 to $50.36. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.79 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ATS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.41, 2 of 10 active models suggest ATS may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $5.92, 69.5% below the current price of $19.41 — a consensus view that ATS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ATS Corporation's business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for ATS?

ATS Corporation's QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ATS?

CirclFi analyzes ATS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ATS?

Of the 10 models currently active on ATS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $50.36 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $1.82. CirclFi's published fair value for ATS is the median of that range, $5.92, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 820% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ATS a value trap in 2026?

ATS Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, ATS Corporation (ATS) has a median fair value of $5.92 — 69.5% below the current price of $19.41 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ATS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ATS valuation
  • Financial statements: ATS Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001394832) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ATS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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