Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) Fair Value 2026

PKOH · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) trades at $47.39, versus a $35.80 median fair value across its 9 active models — 24.4% below the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PKOH
Price
$47.39
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $35.80, 24.4% below the current price of $47.39. Estimates range from $4.17 to $108.53. PKOH scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. PKOH’s -24.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PKOH?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($47.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $35.80 -24.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.81 -70.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.17 -91.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.96 -85.3%
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What Is PKOH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $4.17 to $108.53

CirclFi's 9 active models place Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) between $4.17 and $108.53 per share, a spread of 291% of the median. The median of that range — $35.80 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PKOH, against a current price of $47.39.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$4.17median $35.80$108.53
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$4.17
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$108.53
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PKOH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PKOH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $35.80. Trading at $47.39, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -24.4%), as 5 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $108.53 (+129.0%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $4.17 (-91.2%). This +220.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PKOH?

9 of 13 models are currently active for PKOH. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PKOH is $35.80 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PKOH Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, PKOH ranks #41 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.'s positioning within the Specialty Industrial Machinery segment means that organic revenue growth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and services growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PKOH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PKOH a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. earns a quality score of 7.7/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +220.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PKOH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PKOH's 9 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7JCSEJE Cleantech Holdings LimitedQOC 7.7GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc.QOC 8.0JBTMJBT Marel CorporationQOC 7.6NPOEnpro Inc.QOC 8.0MIRMirion Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.6CEINCamber Energy, Inc.QOC 4.9WFFWF Holding LimitedQOC 2.6ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.QOC 8.7EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: HLIO · JCSE · GNRC · JBTM · NPO · MIR · CEIN · WFF · ROK · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PKOH?

7 companies across all industries closest to PKOH’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

TPGTPG Inc.QOC 7.7MAPSWM Technology, Inc.QOC 7.7GPCGenuine Parts CompanyQOC 7.7TNETTriNet Group, Inc.QOC 7.7MOAltria Group, Inc.QOC 7.7LELands' End, Inc.QOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TPG · MAPS · GPC · TNET · MO · LE · NVDA

Where Does PKOH Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

PKOH is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH)'s intrinsic value at $35.80 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.17 to $108.53. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PKOH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $47.39, 4 of 9 active models suggest PKOH may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $35.80, 24.4% below the current price of $47.39 — a consensus view that PKOH is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for PKOH?

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PKOH?

CirclFi analyzes PKOH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PKOH?

Of the 9 models currently active on PKOH, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $108.53 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $4.17. CirclFi's published fair value for PKOH is the median of that range, $35.80, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 291% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PKOH a value trap in 2026?

Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. (PKOH) has a median fair value of $35.80 — 24.4% below the current price of $47.39 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PKOH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PKOH valuation
  • Financial statements: Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000076282) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PKOH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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