What Is California Water Service Group (CWT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, California Water Service Group's intrinsic value is estimated at $46.26, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $50.02. With an average implied return of -7.5% across a split 6–7 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +194.1% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +121.0% (fair value: $110.54), while EPV is the most conservative at -73.1% ($13.44). The spread between these extremes — +194.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About CWT?
13 of 13 models are currently active for CWT. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CWT's intrinsic value at $110.54, implying +121.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CWT Rank in Water Supply?
Among 11 Water Supply stocks, CWT ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places CWT in the top tier.
The Water Supply sector introduces analytical considerations specific to regulated utility businesses. For California Water Service Group, metrics like rate base growth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is CWT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CWT a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for California Water Service Group. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, California Water Service Group earns a quality score of 9.3/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +194.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CWT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CWT's 13 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad