Companhia de saneamento Basico (SBS) Fair Value 2026

SBS · Water Supply ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Companhia de saneamento Basico (SBS) trades at $5.93, approximately 63% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $16.24. QOC: 9.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SBS
Price
$5.93
Quality Score
9.8/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +173.5% upside with 38% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.93)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$16.24 +173.5%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$9.44 +59.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$12.44 +109.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$13.69 +130.7%

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What Is Companhia de saneamento Basico (SBS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Companhia de saneamento Basico 's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $11.87. At a current market price of $5.94, 10 of 12 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +100.0%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +221.5% (fair value: $19.08), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -44.8% ($3.27). The spread between these extremes — +266.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SBS?

12 of 13 models are currently active for SBS. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SBS's intrinsic value at $16.24, implying +173.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SBS Rank in Water Supply?

Among 11 Water Supply stocks, SBS ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places SBS in the top tier.

The Water Supply sector introduces analytical considerations specific to regulated utility businesses. For Companhia de saneamento Basico , metrics like renewable generation mix provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is SBS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SBS a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Companhia de saneamento Basico . Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Companhia de saneamento Basico earns a quality score of 9.8/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +266.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SBS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SBS's 12 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Companhia de saneamento Basico Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Water Supply Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Water Supply stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: HTO · CWCO · CWT · WTRG · PCYO

Frequently Asked Questions About Companhia de saneamento Basico

What is Companhia de saneamento Basico 's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Companhia de saneamento Basico (SBS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $16.24. The Quality of Company score is 9.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SBS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.93, 10 of 12 active models suggest SBS may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Companhia de saneamento Basico 's business model in Water Supply.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.8 mean for SBS?

Companhia de saneamento Basico 's QOC of 9.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SBS?

CirclFi analyzes SBS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SBS a value trap in 2026?

Companhia de saneamento Basico 's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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