The York Water Company (YORW) Fair Value 2026

YORW · Utilities - Regulated Water ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, The York Water Company (YORW) trades at $33.71, versus a $18.71 median fair value across its 11 active models — 44.5% below the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $32.56.

Key Facts

Ticker
YORW
Price
$33.71
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is The York Water Company (YORW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The York Water Company (YORW) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $18.71, 44.5% below the current price of $33.71. Estimates range from $9.56 to $52.26. YORW scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. YORW’s -44.5% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The York Water Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give YORW?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($33.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $32.56 -3.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $10.52 -68.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $18.71 -44.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.39 -63.2%
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What Is YORW's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $9.56 to $52.26

CirclFi's 11 active models place The York Water Company (YORW) between $9.56 and $52.26 per share, a spread of 228% of the median. The median of that range — $18.71 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for YORW, against a current price of $33.71.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$9.56median $18.71$52.26
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$9.56
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$52.26
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for YORW. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on YORW, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is The York Water Company (YORW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on The York Water Company at its current price of $33.71. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $18.71 (-44.5% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +55.0% (fair value: $52.26), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -71.6% ($9.56). The spread between these extremes — +126.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About YORW?

11 of 13 models are currently active for YORW. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for YORW is $18.71 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $32.56 on its own, implying -3.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does YORW Rank in Utilities - Regulated Water?

Among 12 Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, YORW ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

As a regulated utility, The York Water Company operates in a sector where earned vs. allowed ROE is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating YORW should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is YORW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YORW a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for The York Water Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, The York Water Company's fundamental quality profile registers 7.2/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +126.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every YORW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across YORW's 11 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The York Water Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Water Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Utilities - Regulated Water stocks with 13-model coverage

SBSCompanhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESPQOC 9.3HTOH2O AmericaQOC 8.5WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.QOC 8.3CWTCalifornia Water Service GroupQOC 8.1PCYOPure Cycle CorporationQOC 8.1AWRAmerican States Water CompanyQOC 7.9MSEXMiddlesex Water CompanyQOC 7.7AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.QOC 7.6GWRSGlobal Water Resources, Inc.QOC 7.0CDZICadiz Inc.QOC 5.4CETICyber Enviro-Tech, Inc.QOC 3.8

Read investment analysis: SBS · HTO · WTRG · CWT · PCYO · AWR · MSEX · AWK · GWRS · CDZI · CETI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to YORW?

7 companies across all industries closest to YORW’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

ZUMZZumiez Inc.QOC 7.2AHRTAH REALTY TRUST INCQOC 7.2NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.QOC 7.2ACRACRES Commercial Realty Corp.QOC 7.2PCGPG&E CorporationQOC 7.2ARVNArvinas, Inc.QOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ZUMZ · AHRT · NXST · ACR · PCG · ARVN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About The York Water Company’s Valuation?

What is The York Water Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts The York Water Company (YORW)'s intrinsic value at $18.71 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.56 to $52.26. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $32.56 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is YORW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $33.71, 2 of 11 active models suggest YORW may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $18.71, 44.5% below the current price of $33.71 — a consensus view that YORW is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The York Water Company's business model in Utilities - Regulated Water.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for YORW?

The York Water Company's QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on YORW?

CirclFi analyzes YORW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on YORW?

Of the 11 models currently active on YORW, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $52.26 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $9.56. CirclFi's published fair value for YORW is the median of that range, $18.71, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 228% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is YORW a value trap in 2026?

The York Water Company's Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The York Water Company (YORW) has a median fair value of $18.71 — 44.5% below the current price of $33.71 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/YORW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this YORW valuation
  • Financial statements: The York Water Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000108985) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for YORW as of ; valuations recomputed .

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