Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) Fair Value 2026

CWCO · Water Supply ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) trades at $28.90, approximately 68% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $17.21. QOC: 9.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CWCO
Price
$28.90
Quality Score
9.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($28.90)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $17.21 -40.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $6.60 -77.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $20.91 -27.6%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $26.07 -9.8%

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What Is Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $20.52. Trading at its current price of $28.90, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -29.0%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $44.82 (+55.1%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $6.60 (-77.2%). This +132.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CWCO?

13 of 13 models are currently active for CWCO. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CWCO's intrinsic value at $17.21, implying -40.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CWCO Rank in Water Supply?

Among 11 Water Supply stocks, CWCO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places CWCO in the top tier.

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s positioning within the Water Supply segment means that rate base growth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification demand growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CWCO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CWCO a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. earns a quality score of 9.4/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +132.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CWCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CWCO's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Water Supply Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Water Supply stocks with 13-model coverage

HTOH2O AmericaQOC 9.9SBSCompanhia de saneamento Basico QOC 9.8CWTCalifornia Water Service GroupQOC 9.3WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.QOC 8.9PCYOPure Cycle CorporationQOC 8.6AWKAmerican Water Works Company, IQOC 8.2AWRAmerican States Water CompanyQOC 8.1MSEXMiddlesex Water CompanyQOC 8.1

Read investment analysis: HTO · SBS · CWT · WTRG · PCYO

Frequently Asked Questions About Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.

What is Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $17.21. The Quality of Company score is 9.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CWCO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $28.90, 2 of 13 active models suggest CWCO may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s business model in Water Supply.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.4 mean for CWCO?

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s QOC of 9.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CWCO?

CirclFi analyzes CWCO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CWCO a value trap in 2026?

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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