What Is American Water Works Company, I (AWK) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, American Water Works Company, I presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $131.56. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $109.90 (-16.5% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $238.06 (+81.0%), versus EPV at $2.77 (-97.9%). This +178.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About AWK?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AWK. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AWK's intrinsic value at $181.20, implying +37.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AWK Rank in Water Supply?
Among 11 Water Supply stocks, AWK ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places AWK in the top tier.
As a power and energy company, American Water Works Company, I operates in a sector where earned vs. allowed ROE is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AWK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is AWK a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AWK a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for American Water Works Company, I. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, American Water Works Company, I is rated at 8.2/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +178.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AWK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AWK's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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