What Is H2O America (HTO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, H2O America's intrinsic value is estimated at $63.13, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $62.47. With an average implied return of +1.1% across a split 4–7 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +233.5% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +156.7% (fair value: $160.35), while EPV is the most conservative at -76.9% ($14.46). The spread between these extremes — +233.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About HTO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for HTO. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HTO's intrinsic value at $160.35, implying +156.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does HTO Rank in Water Supply?
Among 11 Water Supply stocks, HTO ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.9 places HTO in the top tier.
Within the Water Supply space, H2O America competes in an environment where renewable generation mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is HTO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HTO a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for H2O America. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, H2O America's fundamental quality profile registers 9.9/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +233.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every HTO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across HTO's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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