What Is Amcor plc (AMCR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Amcor plc at its current price of $42.44. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $39.38 (-7.2% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $75.89 (+78.8%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $14.56 (-65.7%). This +144.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Amcor plc's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About AMCR?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AMCR. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AMCR's intrinsic value at $40.07, implying -5.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AMCR Rank in Packaging & Containers?
Among 2 Packaging & Containers stocks, AMCR ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places AMCR in the top tier.
Amcor plc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is AMCR a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for AMCR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Amcor plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Amcor plc's fundamental quality profile registers 8.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +144.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AMCR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AMCR's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad