Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Fair Value 2026

SLGN · Packaging & Containers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) trades at $42.10, versus a $38.53 median fair value across its 12 active models — 8.5% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $111.55.

Key Facts

Ticker
SLGN
Price
$42.10
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +165.0% upside with 70% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $38.53, within 8.5% of the current price of $42.10. Estimates range from $9.10 to $111.55. SLGN scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. SLGN’s -8.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Packaging & Containers sector median is -14.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Silgan Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SLGN?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($42.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $111.55 +165.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.10 -78.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $42.40 +0.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.56 -63.0%
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What Is SLGN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $9.10 to $111.55

CirclFi's 12 active models place Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) between $9.10 and $111.55 per share, a spread of 266% of the median. The median of that range — $38.53 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SLGN, against a current price of $42.10.

Low · EPVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$9.10median $38.53$111.55
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$9.10
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$111.55
Model agreement5 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SLGN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SLGN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Silgan Holdings Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $42.10. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $38.53 (-8.5% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $111.55 (+165.0%), versus EPV at $9.10 (-78.4%). This +243.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SLGN?

12 of 13 models are currently active for SLGN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SLGN is $38.53 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $111.55 on its own, implying +165.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SLGN Rank in Packaging & Containers?

Among 23 Packaging & Containers stocks, SLGN ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Silgan Holdings Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SLGN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SLGN a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Silgan Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Silgan Holdings Inc. earns a quality score of 7.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +243.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SLGN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SLGN's 12 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Silgan Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Packaging & Containers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Packaging & Containers stocks with 13-model coverage

REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.QOC 7.6OIO-I Glass, Inc.QOC 6.8AVYAvery Dennison CorporationQOC 7.7PACKRanpak Holdings Corp.QOC 6.7AMCRAmcor plcQOC 7.8IPInternational Paper CompanyQOC 6.5YHGJYunhong Green CTI Ltd.QOC 4.9PKGPackaging Corporation of AmericaQOC 8.5CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.9KRTKarat Packaging Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: REYN · OI · AVY · PACK · AMCR · IP · YHGJ · PKG · CCK · KRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SLGN?

7 companies across all industries closest to SLGN’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

CTOCTO Realty Growth, Inc.QOC 7.4CRKComstock Resources, Inc.QOC 7.4PVHPVH Corp.QOC 7.4SPRSSurge Components, Inc.QOC 7.4ZGZillow Group, Inc.QOC 7.4CTRMCastor Maritime Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CTO · CRK · PVH · SPRS · ZG · CTRM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Silgan Holdings Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Silgan Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN)'s intrinsic value at $38.53 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.10 to $111.55. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $111.55 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $42.10, 6 of 12 active models suggest SLGN may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $38.53, within 8.5% of the current price of $42.10 — a consensus view that SLGN is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Silgan Holdings Inc.'s business model in Packaging & Containers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for SLGN?

Silgan Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SLGN?

CirclFi analyzes SLGN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SLGN?

Of the 12 models currently active on SLGN, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $111.55 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $9.10. CirclFi's published fair value for SLGN is the median of that range, $38.53, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 266% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SLGN a value trap in 2026?

Silgan Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) has a median fair value of $38.53 — within 8.5% of the current price of $42.10 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SLGN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SLGN valuation
  • Financial statements: Silgan Holdings Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000849869) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SLGN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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