Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Fair Value 2026

CRK · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (22/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) trades at $14.62, versus a $16.91 median fair value across its 8 active models — 15.6% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 22/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CRK
Price
$14.62
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
22/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +74.5% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $16.91, 15.6% above the current price of $14.62. Estimates range from $7.59 to $32.08. CRK scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 22/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CRK’s +15.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -1.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Comstock Resources, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CRK?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.62)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $21.78 +49.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $25.51 +74.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.73 -19.7%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $23.44 +60.3%
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What Is CRK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $7.59 to $32.08

CirclFi's 8 active models place Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) between $7.59 and $32.08 per share, a spread of 145% of the median. The median of that range — $16.91 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CRK, against a current price of $14.62.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · PWERM
$7.59median $16.91$32.08
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$7.59
Most bullish modelPWERM$32.08
Model agreement4 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CRK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CRK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Comstock Resources, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $14.62. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $16.91 (+15.6% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 4 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $32.08 (+119.4%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $7.59 (-48.1%). This +167.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CRK?

8 of 13 models are currently active for CRK. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CRK is $16.91 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CRK Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, CRK ranks #42 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

The Oil & Gas E&P sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy producer businesses. For Comstock Resources, Inc., metrics like reserve life index provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CRK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CRK a score of 22/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Comstock Resources, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Comstock Resources, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +167.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CRK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CRK's 8 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Comstock Resources, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

ANNAAleAnna, Inc.QOC 7.5BATLBattalion Oil CorporationQOC 7.4VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.QOC 7.5EPMEvolution Petroleum CorporationQOC 7.1MURMurphy Oil CorporationQOC 7.5INRInfinity Natural Resources, Inc.QOC 7.1BSINBig Sky Industrial Inc.QOC 5.6REOSReoStar Energy Corp.QOC 3.1RRCRange Resources CorporationQOC 8.4TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: ANNA · BATL · VTS · EPM · MUR · INR · BSIN · REOS · RRC · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CRK?

7 companies across all industries closest to CRK’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

CTOCTO Realty Growth, Inc.QOC 7.4SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4PVHPVH Corp.QOC 7.4SPRSSurge Components, Inc.QOC 7.4ZGZillow Group, Inc.QOC 7.4CTRMCastor Maritime Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CTO · SLGN · PVH · SPRS · ZG · CTRM · NVDA

Where Does CRK Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

CRK is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Comstock Resources, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Comstock Resources, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK)'s intrinsic value at $16.91 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $7.59 to $32.08. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CRK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.62, 4 of 8 active models suggest CRK may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $16.91, 15.6% above the current price of $14.62 — a consensus view that CRK is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Comstock Resources, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for CRK?

Comstock Resources, Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CRK?

CirclFi analyzes CRK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CRK?

Of the 8 models currently active on CRK, PWERM is the most bullish at $32.08 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $7.59. CirclFi's published fair value for CRK is the median of that range, $16.91, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 145% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CRK a value trap in 2026?

Comstock Resources, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 22/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) has a median fair value of $16.91 — 15.6% above the current price of $14.62 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CRK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CRK valuation
  • Financial statements: Comstock Resources, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000023194) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CRK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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