CKX Lands, Inc. (CKX) Fair Value 2026

CKX · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, CKX Lands, Inc. (CKX) trades at $10.65, versus a $5.52 median fair value across its 8 active models — 48.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.91.

Key Facts

Ticker
CKX
Price
$10.65
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is CKX Lands, Inc. (CKX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, CKX Lands, Inc. (CKX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $5.52, 48.1% below the current price of $10.65. Estimates range from $0.31 to $19.49. CKX scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CKX’s -48.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -1.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CKX Lands, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CKX?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.65)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $2.91 -72.7%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $0.31 -97.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $5.42 -49.1%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $5.89 -44.7%
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What Is CKX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $0.31 to $19.49

CirclFi's 8 active models place CKX Lands, Inc. (CKX) between $0.31 and $19.49 per share, a spread of 347% of the median. The median of that range — $5.52 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CKX, against a current price of $10.65.

Low · EPVHigh · ML-RIV
$0.31median $5.52$19.49
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$0.31
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$19.49
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CKX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CKX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is CKX Lands, Inc. (CKX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CKX Lands, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $5.52. Trading at its current price of $10.65, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -48.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $19.49 (+83.0%), versus EPV at $0.31 (-97.1%). This +180.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CKX?

8 of 13 models are currently active for CKX. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CKX is $5.52 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.91 on its own, implying -72.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CKX Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, CKX ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places CKX in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

The Oil & Gas E&P sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy producer businesses. For CKX Lands, Inc., metrics like breakeven oil price provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CKX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CKX a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for CKX Lands, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, CKX Lands, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.4/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +180.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CKX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CKX's 8 active models, average confidence is 21%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CKX Lands, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

WDSWoodside Energy Group LtdQOC 8.5MXCMexco Energy CorporationQOC 8.4DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.QOC 8.5AMPYAmplify Energy Corp.QOC 8.4HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.QOC 8.6RRCRange Resources CorporationQOC 8.4CRGYCrescent Energy CompanyQOC 7.7EPEmpire Petroleum CorporationQOC 5.9GRVEGroove Botanicals, Inc.QOC 3.7TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: WDS · MXC · DMLP · AMPY · HPK · RRC · CRGY · EP · GRVE · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CKX?

7 companies across all industries closest to CKX’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

XPOXPO, Inc.QOC 8.5KEXKirby CorporationQOC 8.4WTWWillis Towers Watson Public Limited CompanyQOC 8.5KNKnowles CorporationQOC 8.4CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.5MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: XPO · KEX · WTW · KN · CBSH · MPAA · NVDA

Where Does CKX Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

CKX is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About CKX Lands, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is CKX Lands, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts CKX Lands, Inc. (CKX)'s intrinsic value at $5.52 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.31 to $19.49. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.91 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CKX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.65, 2 of 8 active models suggest CKX may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $5.52, 48.1% below the current price of $10.65 — a consensus view that CKX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CKX Lands, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for CKX?

CKX Lands, Inc.'s QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CKX?

CirclFi analyzes CKX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CKX?

Of the 8 models currently active on CKX, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $19.49 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $0.31. CirclFi's published fair value for CKX is the median of that range, $5.52, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 347% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CKX a value trap in 2026?

CKX Lands, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, CKX Lands, Inc. (CKX) has a median fair value of $5.52 — 48.1% below the current price of $10.65 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CKX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CKX valuation
  • Financial statements: CKX Lands, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000352955) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CKX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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