What Is Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Matador Resources Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $88.11, suggesting a +65.8% average upside from the current price of $53.13. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $167.06 (+214.4%), versus EPV at $31.43 (-40.8%). This +255.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About MTDR?
11 of 13 models are currently active for MTDR. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MTDR Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?
Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, MTDR ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places MTDR in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →
Within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas space, Matador Resources Company competes in an environment where reserve life index often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is MTDR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MTDR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Matador Resources Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Matador Resources Company is rated at 8.4/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +255.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MTDR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MTDR's 11 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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