O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Fair Value 2026

OI · Packaging & Containers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) trades at $7.39, versus a $21.29 median fair value across its 7 active models — 188.1% above the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OI
Price
$7.39
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +288.9% upside with 64% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $21.29, 188.1% above the current price of $7.39. Estimates range from $1.00 to $36.42. OI scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. OI’s +188.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Packaging & Containers sector median is -14.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy O-I Glass, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OI?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $20.73 +180.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $28.74 +288.9%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.00 -86.4%
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What Is OI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $1.00 to $36.42

CirclFi's 7 active models place O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) between $1.00 and $36.42 per share, a spread of 166% of the median. The median of that range — $21.29 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OI, against a current price of $7.39.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$1.00median $21.29$36.42
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.00
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$36.42
Model agreement6 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for OI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, O-I Glass, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $7.39. Based on our 13-model framework, O-I Glass, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $21.29 — representing +188.1% implied upside — with 6 out of 7 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $36.42 (+392.8%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.00 (-86.4%). This +479.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About OI?

7 of 13 models are currently active for OI. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OI is $21.29 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OI Rank in Packaging & Containers?

Among 23 Packaging & Containers stocks, OI ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

O-I Glass, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OI a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for O-I Glass, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, O-I Glass, Inc. scores 6.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +479.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OI's 7 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy O-I Glass, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Packaging & Containers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Packaging & Containers stocks with 13-model coverage

SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4PACKRanpak Holdings Corp.QOC 6.7REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.QOC 7.6IPInternational Paper CompanyQOC 6.5AVYAvery Dennison CorporationQOC 7.7GFLTGenFlat Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.7ORBSEightco Holdings Inc.QOC 4.8SONSonoco Products CompanyQOC 8.3MYEMyers Industries, Inc.QOC 7.8KRTKarat Packaging Inc.QOC 8.7PKGPackaging Corporation of AmericaQOC 8.5

Read investment analysis: SLGN · PACK · REYN · IP · AVY · GFLT · ORBS · SON · MYE · KRT · PKG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OI?

7 companies across all industries closest to OI’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

BHICBioScience Health Innovations IQOC 6.8CIZNCitizens Holding CompanyQOC 6.8BGBunge Global SAQOC 6.8STAASTAAR Surgical CompanyQOC 6.8HURCHurco Companies, Inc.QOC 6.8ICCCImmuCell CorporationQOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BHIC · CIZN · BG · STAA · HURC · ICCC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About O-I Glass, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is O-I Glass, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts O-I Glass, Inc. (OI)'s intrinsic value at $21.29 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.00 to $36.42. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.39, 6 of 7 active models suggest OI may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $21.29, 188.1% above the current price of $7.39 — a consensus view that OI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits O-I Glass, Inc.'s business model in Packaging & Containers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for OI?

O-I Glass, Inc.'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OI?

CirclFi analyzes OI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OI?

Of the 7 models currently active on OI, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $36.42 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.00. CirclFi's published fair value for OI is the median of that range, $21.29, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 166% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OI a value trap in 2026?

O-I Glass, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) has a median fair value of $21.29 — 188.1% above the current price of $7.39 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OI valuation
  • Financial statements: O-I Glass, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000812074) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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