Hurco Companies, Inc. (HURC) Fair Value 2026

HURC · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (46/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Hurco Companies, Inc. (HURC) trades at $22.93, versus a $18.48 median fair value across its 6 active models — 19.4% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 46/100 (WARN). 6/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $14.22.

Key Facts

Ticker
HURC
Price
$22.93
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
46/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: 6 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 46 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Hurco Companies, Inc. (HURC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Hurco Companies, Inc. (HURC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $18.48, 19.4% below the current price of $22.93. Estimates range from $14.22 to $78.48. HURC scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 46/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HURC’s -19.4% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -44.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hurco Companies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HURC?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($22.93)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.22 -38.0%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $17.25 -24.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $19.71 -14.0%
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What Is HURC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $14.22 to $78.48

CirclFi's 6 active models place Hurco Companies, Inc. (HURC) between $14.22 and $78.48 per share, a spread of 348% of the median. The median of that range — $18.48 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HURC, against a current price of $22.93.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · FTNN
$14.22median $18.48$78.48
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$14.22
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$78.48
Model agreement2 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HURC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HURC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Hurco Companies, Inc. (HURC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hurco Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $18.48. Trading at $22.93, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -19.4%), as 4 of 6 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $78.48 (+242.2%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $14.22 (-38.0%). This +280.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Hurco Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HURC?

6 of 13 models are currently active for HURC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HURC is $18.48 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $14.22 on its own, implying -38.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HURC Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 87 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, HURC ranks #53 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

The Specialty Industrial Machinery sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Hurco Companies, Inc., metrics like aftermarket revenue mix provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HURC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HURC a score of 46/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Hurco Companies, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hurco Companies, Inc. scores 6.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +280.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HURC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HURC's 6 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hurco Companies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

SMRNuScale Power CorporationQOC 6.9CVVCVD Equipment CorporationQOC 6.4CEPLCapstone Energy+, Inc.QOC 6.9NNENANO Nuclear Energy Inc.QOC 6.1BWENBroadwind, Inc.QOC 7.0BWBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.QOC 6.1NPWRNET Power Inc.QOC 4.6AOSA. O. Smith CorporationQOC 9.0RRXRegal Rexnord CorporationQOC 8.4EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SMR · CVV · CEPL · NNE · BWEN · BW · NPWR · AOS · RRX · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HURC?

7 companies across all industries closest to HURC’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

FDMT4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.8BGBunge Global SAQOC 6.8BSACBanco Santander-ChileQOC 6.8BHICBioScience Health Innovations IQOC 6.8WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.8OIO-I Glass, Inc.QOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FDMT · BG · BSAC · BHIC · WTTR · OI · NVDA

Where Does HURC Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

HURC is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hurco Companies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Hurco Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Hurco Companies, Inc. (HURC)'s intrinsic value at $18.48 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $14.22 to $78.48. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $14.22 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HURC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $22.93, 2 of 6 active models suggest HURC may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $18.48, 19.4% below the current price of $22.93 — a consensus view that HURC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hurco Companies, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for HURC?

Hurco Companies, Inc.'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HURC?

CirclFi analyzes HURC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HURC?

Of the 6 models currently active on HURC, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $78.48 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $14.22. CirclFi's published fair value for HURC is the median of that range, $18.48, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 348% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HURC a value trap in 2026?

Hurco Companies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 46/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Hurco Companies, Inc. (HURC) has a median fair value of $18.48 — 19.4% below the current price of $22.93 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HURC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HURC valuation
  • Financial statements: Hurco Companies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000315374) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HURC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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