Broadwind, Inc. (BWEN) Fair Value 2026

BWEN · Nonferrous Foundries (Castings) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Broadwind, Inc. (BWEN) trades at $4.30, approximately 54% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.80. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BWEN
Price
$4.30
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +227.0% upside with 53% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.30)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $2.80 -34.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $0.56 -87.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $4.53 +5.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $14.06 +227.0%

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What Is Broadwind, Inc. (BWEN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Broadwind, Inc. at $4.30. With an estimated intrinsic value of $4.90 and 7 of 12 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +14.0%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $14.06 (+227.0%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $0.44 (-89.7%). This +316.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Broadwind, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BWEN?

12 of 13 models are currently active for BWEN. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BWEN's intrinsic value at $2.80, implying -34.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BWEN Rank in Nonferrous Foundries (Castings)?

Among 2 Nonferrous Foundries (Castings) stocks, BWEN ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places BWEN in the top tier.

Broadwind, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BWEN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BWEN a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Broadwind, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Broadwind, Inc. scores 8.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +316.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BWEN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BWEN's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Broadwind, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Nonferrous Foundries (Castings) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

1 related Nonferrous Foundries (Castings) stocks with 13-model coverage

HUHUHUHUTECH International Group InQOC 2.6

Read investment analysis: HUHU

Frequently Asked Questions About Broadwind, Inc.

What is Broadwind, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Broadwind, Inc. (BWEN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.80. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BWEN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.30, 7 of 12 active models suggest BWEN may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Broadwind, Inc.'s business model in Nonferrous Foundries (Castings).

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for BWEN?

Broadwind, Inc.'s QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BWEN?

CirclFi analyzes BWEN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BWEN a value trap in 2026?

Broadwind, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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