SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) Fair Value 2026

SHMD · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) trades at $3.40, versus a $4.36 median fair value across its 2 active models — 28.2% above the current price. QOC: 4.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SHMD
Price
$3.40
Quality Score
4.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +127.8% upside with 28% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $4.36, 28.2% above the current price of $3.40. Estimates range from $0.97 to $7.74. SHMD scores 4.7/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SHMD’s +28.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SCHMID Group N.V. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SHMD?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $7.74 +127.8%
Option-Based · Low Conviction
 $0.97 -71.4%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SCHMID Group N.V.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $4.36, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $3.40. While the median implied return is +28.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +199.1% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $7.74 (+127.8%), while PWERM — the most conservative — estimates $0.97 (-71.4%). This +199.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about SCHMID Group N.V.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SHMD?

2 of 13 models are currently active for SHMD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SHMD is $4.36 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SHMD Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, SHMD ranks #69 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

SCHMID Group N.V.'s positioning within the Specialty Industrial Machinery segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including automation and productivity gains — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is SHMD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SHMD a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for SCHMID Group N.V.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, SCHMID Group N.V. earns a quality score of 4.7/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +199.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SHMD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SHMD's 2 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SCHMID Group N.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

SPPLSimpple Ltd.QOC 4.7GFUZGeneral Fusion Group Ltd.QOC 4.6FISNDeep Fission, Inc.QOC 4.7NPWRNET Power Inc.QOC 4.6HYORHyOrc CorporationQOC 4.7QINDQuality Industrial Corp.QOC 4.3XYLXylem Inc.QOC 9.1FELEFranklin Electric Co., Inc.QOC 8.5MIDDThe Middleby CorporationQOC 7.3EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SPPL · GFUZ · FISN · NPWR · HYOR · QIND · XYL · FELE · MIDD · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SHMD?

6 companies across all industries closest to SHMD’s Quality of Company score of 4.7/10.

ERASErasca, Inc.QOC 4.7AEMDAethlon Medical, Inc.QOC 4.7CBLOC2 Blockchain, Inc.QOC 4.7PNXPPineapple Express Cannabis CompanyQOC 4.7BKTBlackRock Income Trust, Inc.QOC 4.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ERAS · AEMD · CBLO · PNXP · BKT · NVDA

Where Does SHMD Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

SHMD is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About SCHMID Group N.V.’s Valuation?

What is SCHMID Group N.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD)'s intrinsic value at $4.36 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.97 to $7.74. The Quality of Company score is 4.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SHMD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.40, 1 of 2 active models suggest SHMD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $4.36, 28.2% above the current price of $3.40 — a consensus view that SHMD is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SCHMID Group N.V.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.7 mean for SHMD?

SCHMID Group N.V.'s QOC of 4.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SHMD?

CirclFi analyzes SHMD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SHMD a value trap in 2026?

SCHMID Group N.V.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) has a median fair value of $4.36 — 28.2% above the current price of $3.40 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SHMD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SHMD valuation
  • Financial statements: SCHMID Group N.V. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001987240) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SHMD as of ; valuations recomputed .