SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) Fair Value 2026

SHMD · Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) trades at $4.35, approximately 422% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.83. QOC: 4.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SHMD
Price
$4.35
Quality Score
4.7/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.83 -80.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.93 -32.5%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$1.17 -73.1%
RCMH-DCF
Medium Conviction
$0.80 -81.5%

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What Is SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SCHMID Group N.V.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.66. Trading at its current price of $4.35, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -61.8%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $5.93 (+36.3%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.27 (-93.8%). This +130.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about SCHMID Group N.V.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SHMD?

8 of 13 models are currently active for SHMD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SHMD's intrinsic value at $0.83, implying -80.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SHMD Rank in Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment?

Among 10 Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment stocks, SHMD ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

SCHMID Group N.V.'s positioning within the Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including automation and productivity gains — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is SHMD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SHMD a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for SCHMID Group N.V.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, SCHMID Group N.V. earns a quality score of 4.7/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +130.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SHMD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SHMD's 8 active models, average confidence is 14%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SCHMID Group N.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About SCHMID Group N.V.

What is SCHMID Group N.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.83. The Quality of Company score is 4.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SHMD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.35, 1 of 8 active models suggest SHMD may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SCHMID Group N.V.'s business model in Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.7 mean for SHMD?

SCHMID Group N.V.'s QOC of 4.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SHMD?

CirclFi analyzes SHMD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SHMD a value trap in 2026?

SCHMID Group N.V.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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