Fusion Fuel Green PLC (HTOO) Fair Value 2026

HTOO · Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Fusion Fuel Green PLC (HTOO) trades at $2.56, approximately 381% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.53. QOC: 2.1/10. 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HTOO
Price
$2.56
Quality Score
2.1/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +200.6% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.1/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.53 -79.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.43 -5.0%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$7.69 +200.6%
PWERM
Low Conviction
$2.82 +10.1%

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What Is Fusion Fuel Green PLC (HTOO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Fusion Fuel Green PLC's intrinsic value is estimated at $4.02, suggesting a +57.2% average upside from the current price of $2.56. While 5 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $9.79 (+282.5%), versus Bayesian DCF at $0.53 (-79.2%). This +361.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About HTOO?

8 of 13 models are currently active for HTOO. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HTOO's intrinsic value at $0.53, implying -79.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HTOO Rank in Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment?

Among 10 Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment stocks, HTOO ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.1 signals below-average fundamentals.

Fusion Fuel Green PLC's positioning within the Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment segment means that margin expansion trajectory plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is HTOO a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for HTOO. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Fusion Fuel Green PLC. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Fusion Fuel Green PLC earns a quality score of 2.1/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +361.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HTOO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HTOO's 8 active models, average confidence is 2%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Fusion Fuel Green PLC Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Fusion Fuel Green PLC

What is Fusion Fuel Green PLC's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Fusion Fuel Green PLC (HTOO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.53. The Quality of Company score is 2.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HTOO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.56, 5 of 8 active models suggest HTOO may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Fusion Fuel Green PLC's business model in Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.1 mean for HTOO?

Fusion Fuel Green PLC's QOC of 2.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HTOO?

CirclFi analyzes HTOO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HTOO a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for HTOO at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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