Apnimed, Inc. (APMD) Fair Value 2026

APMD · Biotechnology ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-09-15, Apnimed, Inc. (APMD) trades at $25.56. QOC: 4.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
APMD
Price
$25.56
Quality Score
4.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.4/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give APMD?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $18.05 -29.4%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Apnimed, Inc. (APMD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Apnimed, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $18.05. Trading at its current price of $25.56, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -29.4%.

What Do the Models Say About APMD?

1 of 13 models are currently active for APMD. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APMD Rank in Biotechnology?

Among 624 Biotechnology stocks, APMD ranks #475 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biotechnology Stocks →

The Biotechnology sector introduces analytical considerations specific to biotechnology enterprise businesses. For Apnimed, Inc., metrics like R&D burn rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is APMD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APMD a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Apnimed, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Apnimed, Inc. scores 4.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APMD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APMD's 1 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Apnimed, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biotechnology Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Biotechnology stocks with 13-model coverage

BYSIBeyondSpring Inc.QOC 4.4IKTInhibikase Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.4JAGXJaguar Health, Inc.QOC 4.4ONCOOnconetix, Inc.QOC 4.3PHIOPhio Pharmaceuticals Corp.QOC 4.4JBIOJade Biosciences, Inc.QOC 4.3VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedQOC 9.1AURXNuo Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 5.9CELCCelcuity Inc.QOC 5.0EXELExelixis, Inc.QOC 9.6INCYIncyte CorporationQOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: BYSI · IKT · JAGX · ONCO · PHIO · JBIO · VRTX · AURX · CELC · EXEL · INCY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to APMD?

5 companies across all industries closest to APMD’s Quality of Company score of 4.4/10.

SNRGSusGlobal Energy Corp.QOC 4.4WBXWallbox N.V.QOC 4.4ILPTIndustrial Logistics Properties TrustQOC 4.4DRCTDirect Digital Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SNRG · WBX · ILPT · DRCT · NVDA

Where Does APMD Sit in CirclFi's Biotechnology Rankings?

APMD is ranked against every other Biotechnology stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Biotechnology stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Apnimed, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Apnimed, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Apnimed, Inc. (APMD). The Quality of Company score is 4.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APMD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.56, 0 of 1 active models suggest APMD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Apnimed, Inc.'s business model in Biotechnology.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.4 mean for APMD?

Apnimed, Inc.'s QOC of 4.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APMD?

CirclFi analyzes APMD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is APMD a value trap in 2026?

Apnimed, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Apnimed, Inc. (APMD) a Quality of Company score of 4.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-09-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/APMD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this APMD valuation
  • Financial statements: Apnimed, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001745648) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for APMD as of ; valuations recomputed .