Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. (VGAS) Fair Value 2026

VGAS · Utilities - Renewable ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. (VGAS) trades at $1.30. QOC: 4.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
VGAS
Price
$1.30
Quality Score
4.5/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.5/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VGAS?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.30)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $0.64 -51.1%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. (VGAS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.64, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $1.30. With 1 out of 1 models flagging downside (-51.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About VGAS?

1 of 13 models are currently active for VGAS. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VGAS Rank in Utilities - Renewable?

Among 24 Utilities - Renewable stocks, VGAS ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a energy producer, Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. operates in a sector where breakeven oil price is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating VGAS should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is VGAS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VGAS a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.5/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VGAS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VGAS's 1 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Renewable Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Utilities - Renewable stocks with 13-model coverage

BESSBimergen Energy CorporationQOC 4.7CLNVClean Vision CorporationQOC 4.4HTOOFusion Fuel Green PLCQOC 4.8NXXTNextNRG, Inc.QOC 4.4WNDWSolarWindow Technologies, Inc.QOC 4.9CPWROcean Thermal Energy CorporationQOC 4.2WAVEEco Wave Power Global AB (publ)QOC 2.5STEMStem, Inc.QOC 6.5SAFXXCF Global, Inc.QOC 5.3CWENClearway Energy, Inc.QOC 7.6ORAOrmat Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.3

Read investment analysis: BESS · CLNV · HTOO · NXXT · WNDW · CPWR · WAVE · STEM · SAFX · CWEN · ORA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VGAS?

7 companies across all industries closest to VGAS’s Quality of Company score of 4.5/10.

KYTXKyverna Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.5INOInovio Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 4.5APCARKO Petroleum Corp.QOC 4.5AZTRAzitra, Inc.QOC 4.5RVRCRevium Rx.QOC 4.5UNCYUnicycive Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: KYTX · INO · APC · AZTR · RVRC · UNCY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. (VGAS). The Quality of Company score is 4.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VGAS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.30, 0 of 1 active models suggest VGAS may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.'s business model in Utilities - Renewable.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.5 mean for VGAS?

Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.'s QOC of 4.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VGAS?

CirclFi analyzes VGAS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is VGAS a value trap in 2026?

Verde Clean Fuels, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. (VGAS) a Quality of Company score of 4.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VGAS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VGAS valuation
  • Financial statements: Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001841425) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VGAS as of ; valuations recomputed .