What Is NewMarket Corp (NEU) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NewMarket Corp's intrinsic value is estimated at $452.01. Trading at its current price of $758.09, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -40.4%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +5.4% (fair value: $799.00), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -92.4% ($57.51). The spread between these extremes — +97.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About NEU?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NEU. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NEU's intrinsic value at $247.02, implying -67.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NEU Rank in Industrial Organic Chemicals?
Among 20 Industrial Organic Chemicals stocks, NEU ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.7 places NEU in the top tier.
NewMarket Corp's positioning within the Industrial Organic Chemicals segment means that margin expansion trajectory plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is NEU a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NEU a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for NewMarket Corp. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NewMarket Corp scores 9.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +97.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NEU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NEU's 13 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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